Scott Alexander said his impression is that economists who model long-run growth think the data are not good enough to tell whether history is one smooth process or a series of phase changes.
Not researched Checkable, but outside the sample that was researched.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
Cite this claim
Scott Alexander, “Scott Alexander said his impression is that economists who model long-run growth think the data are not good enough to tell whether history is one smooth process or a series of phase changes.” (said 3 April 2025). Verdict: not researched. Reliability API, claim c_08f4e3ed792c, method 0.1.0+8bea457b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_08f4e3ed792c
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More factual claims by Scott Alexander
-
Mostly true
“MNX is a real-money prediction market on AI.”
-
Resolved true
“I think you make a great point that discoveries don’t always come from where we think, like Nvidia originally came from gaming.”
-
Mostly true
“First, cryptocurrency crashed (remember, I made last year’s prediction during the height of the boom, when Bitcoin was around $15,000).”
-
Resolved true
“Friend of the blog Goodheart Labs is working on Common Notes, aka “Twitter Community Notes, but for everything”.”
Goodheart Labs is working on Common Notes, described as Twitter Community Notes but for everything.
-
Mostly true
“Reader Nikita Sokolsky has completed his work getting some extra Fatima documents from Portugal and translating them into English.”
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.