ClaimsWarren Buffett

“So my guess is they've got about 5.25 billion shares out now, but my guess is that ten years from now they'll have substantially fewer.”

Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway CEO, interviewed on CNBC 27 February 2017 Full transcript of Buffett's interview with CNBC (Feb 2017) (CNBC) archived copy

Prediction Economics and markets

Buffett guessed that the company he was discussing had about 5.25 billion shares outstanding, and that ten years later it would have substantially fewer.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

deadline 2027 is after 2026-11-04

Cite this claim

Warren Buffett, “Buffett guessed that the company he was discussing had about 5.25 billion shares outstanding, and that ten years later it would have substantially fewer.” (said 27 February 2017). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_021f24e41d20, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_021f24e41d20

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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More prediction claims by Warren Buffett

  1. Mostly true Prediction 27 February 2017
    “And I think they will end up going for something not as dramatic as they might even like to do because they simply don't want to spend the time and the political capital getting it done.”

    Buffett said he thinks those in control will end up going for a less dramatic tax change than they might like, because they don't want to spend the time and political capital getting it done.

  2. Resolved true Prediction 23 September 2010
    “we will get out of it.”

    The US economy will eventually get out of the recession, though not for a while.

  3. Resolved true Prediction 23 September 2010
    “I don’t think they’ll end up being passed for no one.”

    Buffett said he did not think the expiring tax cuts would end up being extended for no one, i.e. he expected some to be extended.

  4. Mostly true Prediction 2007
    “Nevertheless, this operation faces unrelenting pressures that will cause profit margins to slide.”

    Unrelenting pressures will cause the Buffalo News's profit margins to slide.

  5. Resolved true Prediction 2007
    “A decade from now, HomeServices will almost certainly be much larger.”

    HomeServices will almost certainly be much larger a decade from 2007.

All of them

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