ClaimsPeople

Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett led Berkshire Hathaway as chairman from 1970 and as CEO until January 1, 2026, and now serves as chairman emeritus and a board member.

1,556 claims collected, 281 researched, 78 resolved. Report of 5 November 2026, method 0.1.0+28da144b.

Scores by kind of claim

Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.

  • Factual claims

    Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

    85 79 91

    High confidence, 51 factual claims resolved. From 14 documents, 2001 to 2026; 15 documents sampled from 31 candidates found.

    Not scored: 51 unresolvable, 45 checkable only against their own records.

    See the factual claims

  • Predictions

    Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

    78 65 89

    Low confidence, 14 predictions resolved. From 6 documents, 2001 to 2024; 15 documents sampled from 31 candidates found.

    Not scored: 71 unresolvable, 2 checkable only against their own records. 10 more fall due later.

    Does not yet allow for how likely each prediction was when made.

    See the predictions

  • Promises

    Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?

    72 57 85

    Low confidence, 12 promises resolved. From 7 documents, 2001 to 2026; 15 documents sampled from 31 candidates found.

    Not scored: 17 unresolvable, 4 not yet due, 1 checkable only against their own records.

    See the promises

  • Guidance

    A company's own figures for its results over a period, checked against what it then reported.

    Insufficient record: 1 guidance claim resolved, 5 needed for a score.

    Not scored: 2 unresolvable.

    See the guidance

All types combined: 82 (likely 76 to 87, high confidence), from 77 claims: 51 factual claims, 14 predictions, 12 promises. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.

Warren Buffett's claims

4 claims

4 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictKindSaidClaimTopic
Not yet due Promise 2010 Warren Buffett will continue to distribute about 4% of the Berkshire shares he retains each year. Promise · 2010 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Promise 2010 None of Warren Buffett's pledged money will go to endowments; it will be spent on current needs. Promise · 2010 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Promise 2010 More than 99% of Warren Buffett's wealth will go to philanthropy during his lifetime or at death. Promise · 2010 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Promise 2010 At the latest, proceeds from all of Warren Buffett's Berkshire shares will be spent for philanthropic purposes within 10 years after his estate is settled. Promise · 2010 Their own work or organisation
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Warren Buffett

Open its page

Promise Their own work or organisation

“I will continue to annually distribute about 4% of the shares I retain.”

Warren Buffett, pledge letter author 2010 Warren Buffett - The Giving Pledge (Giving Pledge)

Warren Buffett will continue to distribute about 4% of the Berkshire shares he retains each year.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Reasoning

An ongoing promise to keep giving about 4% annually has no completed horizon while he is alive, though past annual gifts are public.

Cite this claim

Warren Buffett, “Warren Buffett will continue to distribute about 4% of the Berkshire shares he retains each year.” (said 2010). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_136b741b0c07, method 0.1.0+28da144b. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_136b741b0c07

Claims without a verdict

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