ClaimsPeople

Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett led Berkshire Hathaway as chairman from 1970 and as CEO until January 1, 2026, and now serves as chairman emeritus and a board member.

1,556 claims collected, 281 researched, 78 resolved. Report of 5 November 2026, method 0.1.0+28da144b.

Scores by kind of claim

Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.

  • Factual claims

    Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

    85 79 91

    High confidence, 51 factual claims resolved. From 14 documents, 2001 to 2026; 15 documents sampled from 31 candidates found.

    Not scored: 51 unresolvable, 45 checkable only against their own records.

  • Predictions

    Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

    78 65 89

    Low confidence, 14 predictions resolved. From 6 documents, 2001 to 2024; 15 documents sampled from 31 candidates found.

    Not scored: 71 unresolvable, 2 checkable only against their own records. 10 more fall due later.

    Does not yet allow for how likely each prediction was when made.

  • Promises

    Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?

    72 57 85

    Low confidence, 12 promises resolved. From 7 documents, 2001 to 2026; 15 documents sampled from 31 candidates found.

    Not scored: 17 unresolvable, 4 not yet due, 1 checkable only against their own records.

  • Guidance

    A company's own figures for its results over a period, checked against what it then reported.

    Insufficient record: 1 guidance claim resolved, 5 needed for a score.

    Not scored: 2 unresolvable.

All types combined: 82 (likely 76 to 87, high confidence), from 77 claims: 51 factual claims, 14 predictions, 12 promises. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.

Warren Buffett's claims

40 claims

40 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictKindSaidClaimTopic
Resolved true Factual 18 Sep 2026 Howard Buffett has been a Berkshire director for 33 years. Factual · 18 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Delivered on time Promise 18 Sep 2026 Warren Buffett becomes Chairman Emeritus of Berkshire and remains a director. Promise · 18 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 18 Sep 2026 Howard Buffett succeeds Warren Buffett as Berkshire's Chairman. Factual · 18 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 18 Sep 2026 Warren Buffett has served Berkshire since 1965. Factual · 18 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Delivered on time Promise 10 Nov 2025 Greg Abel will become Berkshire Hathaway's chief executive at the end of 2025. Promise · 10 Nov 2025 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 2025 Warren Buffett received an education at three universities. Factual · 2025 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 2025 When buying Forest River, Warren Buffett asked Pete Liegl what his compensation should be and said he would accept whatever Liegl named. Factual · 2025 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 2025 In 2024, 53% of Berkshire's 189 operating businesses reported a decline in earnings, yet Berkshire did better than Buffett expected. Factual · 2025 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 5 May 2024 Buffett said he was responsible for the purchase and for the operation until Greg Abel took over. Factual · 5 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 5 May 2024 Bill Gates is working on batteries that last longer. Factual · 5 May 2024 Technology
Resolved true Prediction 4 May 2024 Apple will very likely still be Berkshire's largest common stock holding at the end of 2024, despite Berkshire having sold some shares. Prediction · 4 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 4 May 2024 Buffett said he had seen an image of himself, with his voice and wearing the kind of clothes he wears, delivering a message that did not come from him [E1][E2]. Factual · 4 May 2024 AI capabilities
Resolved true Factual 15 Dec 2020 The pandemic-induced recession has shut down many people's businesses while others are prospering. Factual · 15 Dec 2020 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual 15 Dec 2020 Buffett said he attended the first graduation of the Small Business Program, which he credited to Goldman Sachs, at LaGuardia Community College about 10 years before he spoke in December 2020. Factual · 15 Dec 2020 Their own work or organisation
Delivered on time Promise 27 Feb 2017 Berkshire will run the same NCAA bracket contest among its employees in 2017 as it did in 2016. Promise · 27 Feb 2017 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 27 Feb 2017 Berkshire closed its purchase of $3 billion of Dow Chemical preferred stock in April 2009, when the market had collapsed. Factual · 27 Feb 2017 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 27 Feb 2017 Berkshire's US Air preferred stock had a clause under which unpaid dividends compounded at a good rate. Factual · 27 Feb 2017 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 21 Jul 2016 When Buffett gives away his Berkshire shares, he always converts the Class A voting stock into Class B stock first. Factual · 21 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 21 Jul 2016 In certain countries there are various ways for workers to participate in company governance. Factual · 21 Jul 2016 Philosophy, ethics and society
Resolved true Factual 9 Feb 2012 The world's gold stock is about 170,000 metric tons. Factual · 9 Feb 2012 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual 15 Aug 2011 Some investment managers among the mega-rich earn billions of dollars from their work. Factual · 15 Aug 2011 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual 15 Aug 2011 Holders of stock index futures for 10 minutes have 60 percent of their gain taxed at 15 percent, as if they were long-term investors. Factual · 15 Aug 2011 Economics and markets
Resolved true Prediction 23 Sep 2010 The US economy will eventually get out of the recession, though not for a while. Prediction · 23 Sep 2010 Economics and markets
Resolved true Prediction 23 Sep 2010 Buffett said he did not think the expiring tax cuts would end up being extended for no one, i.e. he expected some to be extended. Prediction · 23 Sep 2010 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual 23 Sep 2010 The US federal deficit in 2010 is about nine percent of GDP. Factual · 23 Sep 2010 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual 23 Sep 2010 Berkshire's railroad business (BNSF) shipments are 61 percent of the way back up from the recession bottom toward the prior peak. Factual · 23 Sep 2010 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual 2007 Berkshire's partners in owning MidAmerican Energy are Walter Scott, Dave Sokol and Greg Abel. Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Prediction 2007 HomeServices will almost certainly be much larger a decade from 2007. Prediction · 2007 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual 2007 Buffett said Berkshire believed its $16.9 billion gain in net worth during 2006 was a record one-year gain for any American business, leaving aside boosts from mergers. Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 2007 The overall insurance industry had a terrific year in 2006. Factual · 2007 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual 2007 Buffett said in 2007 that, fifty years earlier, Walter was the only investment manager he recommended to a St. Louis family looking for an honest and able investment manager. Factual · 2007 Economics and markets
Resolved true Prediction 2007 Berkshire's results from its bread-and-butter insurance lines will deteriorate in 2007, though Buffett said he thought they would remain satisfactory. Prediction · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 28 Feb 2002 Berkshire lost $2 billion to $2.5 billion in the September 11th event without having been paid properly for the risk assumed. Factual · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 28 Feb 2002 Buffett said the year he was reporting on was Berkshire's worst year in float cost since 1984, a result that he said Berkshire to a significant degree brought upon itself. Factual · 28 Feb 2002 Economics and markets
Resolved true Promise 28 Feb 2002 Buffett and Munger will not take cash compensation, restricted stock or option grants that would make their results superior to shareholders'. Promise · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 28 Feb 2001 GEICO's policyholder growth slowed to a halt as 2000 progressed. Factual · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 28 Feb 2001 Berkshire paid for the 1993 Dexter acquisition using Berkshire shares. Factual · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Prediction 28 Feb 2001 For the next couple of years the Civic Auditorium will be Berkshire's only venue choice for its annual meeting. Prediction · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 28 Feb 2001 In 2000 Berkshire had an insurance underwriting loss of $1.6 billion, giving a float cost of 6%. Factual · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Promise 28 Feb 2001 If the new Convention Center is available, Buffett will poll shareholders on whether to return to a Monday annual meeting. Promise · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Back to the list

Factual Their own work or organisation

“Howard has been a Berkshire Director for 33 years.”

Warren Buffett, Berkshire chairman, signed shareholder letter 18 September 2026 Berkshire news release Sep 18, 2026 (Howard Buffett elected Chairman) (Berkshire Hathaway)

Howard Buffett has been a Berkshire director for 33 years.

Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.

The evidence is the person's or their organisation's own records.

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

What would count as true or false

Use Berkshire proxy statements to find the year Howard G. Buffett joined the Berkshire board, and compare his continuous tenure as of 2026-09-18 with 33 years. True: his tenure is 33 years (start in 1992–1993, depending on the month), with continuous service. Mostly true: tenure is 32 or 34 years, or there was a minor break. Mixed: tenure is off by 2–3 years. Mostly false: tenure is off by more than 3 years, or he was no longer a director at that date while having served about that long. False: he was never a Berkshire director, or his tenure is far from 33 years.

Evidence

  1. Warren Buffett becomes Berkshire chairman emeritus at 96; son Howard takes over StockTitan (republishing Berkshire Hathaway Inc. news release and shareholder letter) · 18 September 2026 Own record
    “the Board has elected Howard G. Buffett, a Berkshire director since 1993, as Chairman of the Board.”

Reasoning

E2 republishes Berkshire Hathaway's official news release dated 2026-09-18. It describes Howard G. Buffett as "a Berkshire director since 1993" and says the Board elected him Chairman. Service starting in 1993 gives a tenure of about 33 years as of 2026-09-18, and the release shows he was still a director on that date, which supports the claim. This rests only on the company's own official announcement, not an independent source, and no proxy statement was provided.

Cite this claim

Warren Buffett, “Howard Buffett has been a Berkshire director for 33 years.” (said 18 September 2026). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_027c6966047b, method 0.1.0+28da144b. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_027c6966047b

Claims without a verdict

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