Warren Buffett

Prediction · Their own work or organisation

“At 94, it won’t be long before Greg Abel replaces me as CEO and will be writing the annual letters.”

Warren Buffett, Berkshire chairman and CEO · 2025 · Berkshire Hathaway 2024 Annual Report (Berkshire Hathaway)

Greg Abel will soon replace Warren Buffett, aged 94, as Berkshire CEO and will write the annual letters.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

The evidence is the person's or their organisation's own records.

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

What would count as true or false

The claim has two parts: (a) Greg Abel replaces Buffett as Berkshire Hathaway CEO 'before long', and (b) Abel then writes the annual shareholder letters. The claim gives no exact date, so 'won't be long' is taken to mean by 2027-03-31, which is about two years from the 2025 letter and leaves time for the first letter after the handover. True: Abel formally becomes CEO by that date, shown by a Berkshire announcement or filing, and a Berkshire annual shareholder letter written and signed by Abel as CEO is published by that date. Mostly true: Abel becomes CEO by the horizon and is clearly set to write the letters (for example, Berkshire officially names him as the author of the next letter), but the first Abel letter has not yet come out only because of when letters are normally published. Mixed: Abel becomes CEO by the horizon, but Buffett keeps writing the annual letters, or it is officially stated that Abel will not write them. Mostly false: Abel is officially confirmed and scheduled to take over but has not become CEO by the horizon, or he becomes CEO only after it. False: by the horizon someone other than Abel becomes CEO, Abel's designation as successor is withdrawn, or Buffett is documented as still CEO with no transition date set.

Evidence

1. BRK-A 2026 Proxy Statement Berkshire Hathaway Inc. · 10 August 2026 Own record

   “As previously announced, Gregory E. Abel succeeded Warren Buffett as Berkshire’s Chief Executive Officer on January 1, 2026. Mr. Buffett continues to be the Chairman of the Board of Directors.”

2. BRK-A 2026 Proxy Statement Berkshire Hathaway Inc. · 10 August 2026 Own record

   “As previously discussed, Mr. Abel became Berkshire’s CEO beginning on January 1, 2026.”

3. BRK-A 2026 Proxy Statement Berkshire Hathaway Inc. · 10 August 2026 Own record

   “Berkshire’s annual report, including the CEO’s annual letter to shareholders, as well as its periodic reports filed with the SEC are posted to Berkshire’s web site at www.berkshirehathaway.com.”

Reasoning

Moved to not yet due on 2026-11-03: its criteria judge it at 31 Mar 2027 and need a shareholder letter written by Greg Abel, which the evidence did not show yet. The judges' reading of the evidence at the time, which gave mostly true: Berkshire's 2026 proxy statement says Greg Abel succeeded Buffett as CEO on January 1, 2026, well before the 2027-03-31 horizon, and Buffett remains Chairman (E1, E2). The same proxy calls the shareholder letter in the annual report "the CEO's annual letter" (E3), which points to the CEO, now Abel, as its author. However, none of the evidence names Abel as the author of a published letter, so the second part of the claim is supported only indirectly.

Cite this claim

Warren Buffett, “Greg Abel will soon replace Warren Buffett, aged 94, as Berkshire CEO and will write the annual letters.” (said 2025). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_b3ef7bb00a43, method 0.1.0+28da144b. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_b3ef7bb00a43