ClaimsPeople

Balaji Srinivasan

Balaji S. Srinivasan is a technology entrepreneur, investor and author who was formerly CTO of Coinbase and a general partner at Andreessen Horowitz, and who founded Network School.

1,569 claims collected, 251 researched, 80 resolved. Report of 4 November 2026, method 0.1.0+c876030c.

Scores by kind of claim

Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.

  • Factual claims

    Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

    72 65 79

    High confidence, 60 factual claims resolved. From 15 documents, 2018 to 2025; 19 documents sampled from 34 candidates found.

    Not scored: 35 unresolvable, 2 checkable only against their own records.

    See the factual claims

  • Predictions

    Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

    66 54 78

    Medium confidence, 19 predictions resolved. From 5 documents, 2018 to 2024; 19 documents sampled from 34 candidates found.

    Not scored: 111 unresolvable. 21 more fall due later.

    Does not yet allow for how likely each prediction was when made.

    See the predictions

  • Promises

    Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?

    Insufficient record: 1 promise resolved, 5 needed for a score.

    Not scored: 2 unresolvable.

    See the promises

All types combined: 71 (likely 64 to 77, high confidence), from 79 claims: 60 factual claims, 19 predictions. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.

Balaji Srinivasan's claims

21 claims

21 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictKindSaidClaimTopic
Not yet due Prediction 30 Nov 2025 In the 2028 US election, the blue (Democratic) and red (Republican) sides will align against tech. Prediction · 30 Nov 2025 AI policy and governance
Not yet due Prediction 4 Jul 2022 By the end of the 2020s, cryptocurrency will be what all politics is about, as social media was in the 2010s. Prediction · 4 Jul 2022 Economics and markets
Not yet due Prediction 4 Jul 2022 In five or ten years people will care a great deal where their money is held and whether it can be frozen. Prediction · 4 Jul 2022 Economics and markets
Not yet due Prediction 4 Jul 2022 By the end of the 2020s, governments will not be able to fund themselves without cryptocurrency. Prediction · 4 Jul 2022 Economics and markets
Not yet due Prediction 17 Nov 2021 Within roughly 10 to 20 years, India could become an intermediate between American anarchy and total Chinese control. Prediction · 17 Nov 2021 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not yet due Prediction 17 Nov 2021 India may be a big component of the decentralized side in the China versus decentralized world split by around 2040. Prediction · 17 Nov 2021 Other global risks
Not yet due Prediction 17 Nov 2021 Over the next 20-40 years, the century will line up as a centralized China versus a decentralized world. Prediction · 17 Nov 2021 Other global risks
Not yet due Prediction 17 Nov 2021 Srinivasan said he thinks that by 2040 or 2050, maybe sooner, there could in theory be robotic, autarkic farms run by giving instructions to robotic field hands. Prediction · 17 Nov 2021 AI, the economy and work
Not yet due Prediction 17 Nov 2021 The DeFi matrix will be to the 2020s what the social graph was to the previous decade. Prediction · 17 Nov 2021 Economics and markets
Not yet due Prediction 17 Nov 2021 Drones and similar technologies may make government enforcement of compliance cheaper, a trend he places around the late 2030s to 2040. Prediction · 17 Nov 2021 AI policy and governance
Not yet due Prediction 25 Mar 2021 A shift from a standing military to a citizen military will have to wait until around midcentury, when warfare is all drones. Prediction · 25 Mar 2021 Other global risks
Not yet due Prediction 25 Mar 2021 He said he did not think it would be great to be a Chinese American in four or five years, as a new Cold War heats up, and added that he hoped it would not come to that. Prediction · 25 Mar 2021 Other global risks
Not yet due Prediction 25 Mar 2021 Balaji Srinivasan said he thinks India is going to be the dark horse of this decade, and that this is not priced in. Prediction · 25 Mar 2021 Economics and markets
Not yet due Prediction 25 Mar 2021 In some country, probably the US, the cloud will burst sometime in the 2020s. Prediction · 25 Mar 2021 AI compute, hardware and data
Not yet due Prediction 25 Mar 2021 Probably by 2025, and by 2030 at the latest, Zoom users will have audio and video filters that make them sound and look like a different person. Prediction · 25 Mar 2021 AI capabilities
Not yet due Prediction 25 Mar 2021 Balaji Srinivasan said he thinks that after the 2020s, being incorporated in the US will be considered a major vulnerability. Prediction · 25 Mar 2021 Economics and markets
Not yet due Prediction 25 Mar 2021 There is about a 30 percent chance of a firewall attack on Bitcoin, over a timeframe the interviewer framed as the next five years. Prediction · 25 Mar 2021 Economics and markets
Not yet due Prediction 30 Dec 2019 Startup cities will be a major trend of the 2020s. Prediction · 30 Dec 2019 Economics and markets
Not yet due Prediction 25 Apr 2018 Token-based financing at a very small, individual level will take about 20 years (perhaps 10), not 5, to be realized. Prediction · 25 Apr 2018 Economics and markets
Not yet due Prediction 2 Apr 2018 Eventually, humanoid robots combined with a VR bodysuit will let people script and control a robot from around the world, maybe in 10 years, seeing through the robot's eyes and moving its arms through the bodysuit. Prediction · 2 Apr 2018 Technology
Not yet due Prediction 2 Apr 2018 Interesting telepresence capabilities are about 5 to 10 years away. Prediction · 2 Apr 2018 Technology
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Balaji Srinivasan

Open its page

Prediction AI policy and governance Political

“2028: blue and red against tech”

Balaji Srinivasan, writing on X 30 November 2025 Post by @balajis on X, 2025-11-30 (X)

In the 2028 US election, the blue (Democratic) and red (Republican) sides will align against tech.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Reasoning

deadline 2028 is after 2026-11-04

Cite this claim

Balaji Srinivasan, “In the 2028 US election, the blue (Democratic) and red (Republican) sides will align against tech.” (said 30 November 2025). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_7ef52977edc5, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_7ef52977edc5

Claims without a verdict

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