AI will take a long time to conquer fields like biology that involve loops with the physical world.
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Reasoning
'A long time' has no defined horizon and the prediction is too vague to test.
Cite this claim
Scott Alexander, “AI will take a long time to conquer fields like biology that involve loops with the physical world.” (said 20 February 2023). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_fde82acb8866, method 0.1.0+8bea457b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_fde82acb8866
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More prediction claims by Scott Alexander
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Resolved true
“So they become extremely interested and they discuss nationalizing the AI companies.”
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