ClaimsTyler Cowen

“it might be regarded by the Iranians as a trick, again to be ignored.”

Tyler Cowen, blogger 10 April 2006 Will we attack Iran? (Marginal Revolution) archived copy

Prediction Other global risks

Iranians might regard a secret US signal as a trick and ignore it.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

Speculation about Iranian perceptions of a hypothetical secret signal; no public record could settle it.

Cite this claim

Tyler Cowen, “Iranians might regard a secret US signal as a trick and ignore it.” (said 10 April 2006). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_fc732ced07cd, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_fc732ced07cd

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Tyler Cowen, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

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All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.