AI will presumably solve compositionality, factuality, reasoning and similar problems someday, though current techniques have thus far not been adequate.
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Reasoning
Prediction that AI will 'someday' solve these problems has no horizon and could still happen at any time.
Cite this claim
Gary Marcus, “AI will presumably solve compositionality, factuality, reasoning and similar problems someday, though current techniques have thus far not been adequate.” (said 1 January 2025). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_fb78d068767d, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_fb78d068767d
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More prediction claims by Gary Marcus
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Mostly true
“Some of its advice will be head-scratchingly bad.”
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Mostly true
“GPT-5 will surely be better, a lot better than GPT-4.”
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Resolved true
“GPT-5 really is about to drop, no foolin’.”
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“It will still make a significant number of shake-your-head stupid errors, in ways that are hard to fully predict.”
GPT-5 will still make a significant number of obvious errors that are hard to predict.
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Mostly true
“Neurosymbolic AI will become much more prominent.”
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.