ClaimsSam Altman

“I suspect that in addition to things like family members having code words they use in crisis situations, we’ll see things like when a president of a country has to issue an urgent message, they cryptographically sign it or otherwise somehow guarantee its authenticity.”

Sam Altman, OpenAI CEO 11 September 2025 Transcript: Sam Altman Interview on Tucker Carlson Show (Singju Post)

Prediction Other global risks

Sam Altman said he suspects that, in addition to things like family members using code words in crisis situations, we will see heads of state cryptographically sign urgent messages or otherwise somehow guarantee their authenticity.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

Vague prediction with no horizon.

Cite this claim

Sam Altman, “Sam Altman said he suspects that, in addition to things like family members using code words in crisis situations, we will see heads of state cryptographically sign urgent messages or otherwise somehow guarantee their authenticity.” (said 11 September 2025). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_edafe0fb4a40, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_edafe0fb4a40

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Sam Altman, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Sam Altman

  1. Mostly true Prediction 9 August 2025
    “And it’s going to be sad because GPT-5 is going to launch and there’s going to be another big spike in demand and we’re not going to be able to serve it.”

    After GPT-5 launches there will be another big spike in demand that OpenAI will not be able to serve.

  2. Mostly true Prediction 21 December 2024
    “on many coding tasks, o3-mini will outperform o1 at a massive cost reduction!”

    On many coding tasks, OpenAI's o3-mini will outperform o1 at a massive cost reduction.

  3. Mostly true Prediction 5 January 2019
    “AGI will feel within reach to many people in the industry”

    By 2025, AGI will feel within reach to many people in the AI industry.

  4. Resolved true Prediction 5 January 2019
    “We will get net-gain nuclear fusion working at prototype scale”

    By 2025, net-gain nuclear fusion will be working at prototype scale.

  5. Resolved true Prediction 2017
    “I believe her.”

    Agrees with Kellyanne Conway that Trump is a man of action who is just getting started.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.