Over the next year or two, and especially five years, the Fund's investment in this position has a very high probability of producing substantial gains.
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
Reasoning
Position unidentified, so gains cannot be checked.
Cite this claim
Michael Burry, “Over the next year or two, and especially five years, the Fund's investment in this position has a very high probability of producing substantial gains.” (said 2001). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_e866bc35fe05, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_e866bc35fe05
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More prediction claims by Michael Burry
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Mostly false
“All personal income taxes collected in a year do not so much as add up to $1 trillion dollars, and yet by 2020 interest expense on our national debt alone could exceed $1 trillion.”
US interest expense on the national debt alone could exceed $1 trillion by 2020.
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Resolved true
“Today, I expect the US government to attempt to continue easy money policies into the next presidential term”
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Mixed
“I imagine the shares of these companies, in most cases, will become very boring before they become attractive again.”
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Mostly true
“Less leverage and lower returns on assets are now in the cards.”
Less leverage and lower returns on assets are now likely for financial institutions.
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Resolved true
“The S&P 500 could easily finish the year in the negative, dragging many investment funds – too many of which are crowded into the same “value-but-for-a-dire-economy” trades – down with it.”
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.