Asked about fully general-purpose models like the GPT series, Altman said he would say most people will agree that "that" happens at some point over the next two years, while noting that the definition of "significant" matters a lot.
Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.
Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Reasoning
deadline 2027-08 is after 2026-11-04
Cite this claim
Sam Altman, “Asked about fully general-purpose models like the GPT series, Altman said he would say most people will agree that "that" happens at some point over the next two years, while noting that the definition of "significant" matters a lot.” (said 9 August 2025). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_e2c848a7d2e6, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_e2c848a7d2e6
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More prediction claims by Sam Altman
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Mostly true
“AGI will feel within reach to many people in the industry”
By 2025, AGI will feel within reach to many people in the AI industry.
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Mostly true
“And it’s going to be sad because GPT-5 is going to launch and there’s going to be another big spike in demand and we’re not going to be able to serve it.”
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Mostly true
“on many coding tasks, o3-mini will outperform o1 at a massive cost reduction!”
On many coding tasks, OpenAI's o3-mini will outperform o1 at a massive cost reduction.
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Resolved true
“We will get net-gain nuclear fusion working at prototype scale”
By 2025, net-gain nuclear fusion will be working at prototype scale.
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Resolved true
“I believe her.”
Agrees with Kellyanne Conway that Trump is a man of action who is just getting started.
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.