ClaimsNassim Taleb

“This came verbatim from PRINCIPIA POLITICA.”

Nassim Taleb, posting on X 23 December 2019 Post by @nntaleb on X, 2019-12-23 (X)

Factual Their own work or organisation

The text in the linked post came verbatim from Taleb's Principia Politica.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

What would count as true or false

True if the text in the linked post of 2019-12-23 appears word for word in Taleb's Principia Politica manuscript or drafts (public or circulated drafts, or a later published version that reproduces the passage). Mostly true if the text matches with only trivial differences (punctuation, a word or two, formatting). Mixed if large parts match but other substantial parts are reworded or missing. Mostly false if the post only paraphrases or summarises ideas from Principia Politica without matching text. False if the text is not in Principia Politica at all or comes from a different source.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (7)

  1. E1 Principia Politica: Politics under Scaling and Uncertainty acataleptico.wordpress.com (PDF hosted on a WordPress blog) · December 2019 Own record

    “Fourth draft, December 2019”

  2. E2 Principia Politica acataleptico.wordpress.com (PDF hosted on a WordPress blog) · November 2019 Own record

    “Fourth draft, November 2019”

  3. E3 Principia Politica: Politics under Scaling and Uncertainty acataleptico.wordpress.com (third-party WordPress host) · December 2019 Own record

    “Fourth draft, December 2019”

  4. E4 Principia Politica acataleptico.wordpress.com (third-party WordPress host) · November 2019 Own record

    “Fourth draft, November 2019”

  5. E5 Principia_Politica.pdf Scribd (uploaded document) · December 2019 Own record

    “Fourth draft, December 2019”

  6. E6 Principia_Politica.pdf Scribd (uploaded document) · November 2019 Own record

    “Fourth draft, November 2019”

  7. E7 Principia_Politica.pdf Scribd (uploaded document) · June 2019 Own record

    “Third draft, June 2019”

Reasoning

The evidence shows only that Principia Politica drafts existed around the date of the claim: a third draft from June 2019 (E7) and fourth drafts from November and December 2019 (E1–E6). None of the quoted excerpts reproduces the text of the linked post or compares it with the drafts. So the evidence cannot show whether the post's text appears word for word in Principia Politica.

Cite this claim

Nassim Taleb, “The text in the linked post came verbatim from Taleb's Principia Politica.” (said 23 December 2019). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_dedf527eda89, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_dedf527eda89

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Nassim Taleb, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

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  2. Resolved true Factual 18 March 2024
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  3. Resolved true Factual 2023
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  4. Resolved true Factual November 2021
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  5. Mostly true Factual 29 December 2020
    “This part in Fooled by Randomness was inspired by the psychology of depositors in #Lebanon who enjoyed steady AND high returns.”

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All of them

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