ClaimsBalaji Srinivasan

“the next political model is what I call a crowd choice, where you have a search engine where the rows are jurisdictions and the columns are policies”

Balaji Srinivasan, interviewee 17 November 2021 Tim Ferriss Show #547 Balaji Srinivasan transcript (tim.blog)

Prediction AI policy and governance

The next political model will be 'crowd choice': a search engine of jurisdictions (rows) and policies (columns) that people and groups use to find a jurisdiction matching their preferences.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

Vague prediction with no horizon about what the 'next political model' will be.

Cite this claim

Balaji Srinivasan, “The next political model will be 'crowd choice': a search engine of jurisdictions (rows) and policies (columns) that people and groups use to find a jurisdiction matching their preferences.” (said 17 November 2021). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_dcb07c25d8aa, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_dcb07c25d8aa

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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For Balaji Srinivasan, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Balaji Srinivasan

  1. Resolved true Prediction 27 August 2024
    “France may not be able to hold him prisoner for long.”

    France may not be able to hold Telegram founder Pavel Durov in custody for long.

  2. Mostly false Prediction 25 March 2021
    “I think that by 2024, you're going to have to use VPN.”

    By 2024, people in the US will have to use a VPN because of ISP-level internet filtering and censorship.

  3. Resolved true Prediction 25 April 2018
    “I think China may well be vectoring in that direction.”

    China may be moving toward using AI for pervasive, all-seeing control of its population.

  4. Mixed Prediction 25 March 2021
    “So the fear is that, if vaccines are eventually rolled out and if enough Americans take them, then by 2023 or 2024, people will be spoiling for a fight to go and beat up China as the one legitimated…”

    He said he feared that, if vaccines were rolled out and enough Americans took them, by 2023 or 2024 people would be spoiling for a fight with China as the one legitimated enemy.

  5. Mostly true Prediction 31 March 2020
    “Censoring anyone (let alone a head of state) in this way will push people towards censorship-resistant platforms.”

    Censoring anyone in this way, let alone a head of state, will push people towards censorship-resistant platforms.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.