ClaimsBalaji Srinivasan

“I think it's very likely they're going to do a firewall attack at some point.”

Balaji Srinivasan, interviewee 25 March 2021 Tim Ferriss Show #506 Balaji Srinivasan transcript (tim.blog) archived copy

Prediction Economics and markets

China is very likely to carry out a firewall attack on Bitcoin at some point.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

The prediction says 'at some point' and gives no time horizon, and the material does not show whether such a firewall attack has taken place.

Cite this claim

Balaji Srinivasan, “China is very likely to carry out a firewall attack on Bitcoin at some point.” (said 25 March 2021). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_dab47b5c8762, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_dab47b5c8762

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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More prediction claims by Balaji Srinivasan

  1. Mixed Prediction 30 March 2020
    “When checks hit, people will spend on consumer staples.”

    When US stimulus checks arrive, people will spend them on consumer staples, after which prices will rise.

  2. Mostly true Prediction 13 March 2020
    “So this is going to do is it's going to force everybody to look at remote work as not a auxiliary, but as a primary.”

    The pandemic will force everybody to treat remote work as primary rather than auxiliary.

  3. Mostly true Prediction 13 March 2020
    “And so this is going to be a gigantic shot in the arm for every diagnostic company in the world, every medical imaging company.”

    The pandemic will be a gigantic boost for every diagnostic and medical imaging company in the world, with defense-budget-level spending.

  4. Resolved true Prediction 13 March 2020
    “Well, I think it's definitely going to cause at least a recession, but likely something more severe than that.”

    COVID-19 will cause at least a recession, likely something more severe.

  5. Mostly false Prediction 25 April 2018
    “I think that’s going to structurally reduce fees over the years to come.”

    Blockchain payment rails will structurally reduce financial fees over the coming years.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.