Sam Altman does not expect the first AGI to be able to answer those questions, even as yes or no, though he said they would be very high on his list if it could.
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Reasoning
The first AGI is undefined and has not clearly occurred, so the claim cannot be tested.
Cite this claim
Sam Altman, “Sam Altman does not expect the first AGI to be able to answer those questions, even as yes or no, though he said they would be very high on his list if it could.” (said 18 March 2024). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_d4df53b18e2b, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_d4df53b18e2b
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More prediction claims by Sam Altman
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Mostly true
“AGI will feel within reach to many people in the industry”
By 2025, AGI will feel within reach to many people in the AI industry.
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Mostly true
“And it’s going to be sad because GPT-5 is going to launch and there’s going to be another big spike in demand and we’re not going to be able to serve it.”
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Mostly true
“on many coding tasks, o3-mini will outperform o1 at a massive cost reduction!”
On many coding tasks, OpenAI's o3-mini will outperform o1 at a massive cost reduction.
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Resolved true
“We will get net-gain nuclear fusion working at prototype scale”
By 2025, net-gain nuclear fusion will be working at prototype scale.
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Resolved true
“I believe her.”
Agrees with Kellyanne Conway that Trump is a man of action who is just getting started.
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.