With carbon pricing and capture, coal power would cost between 8 and 10 cents per kilowatt hour.

Treat 8–10 cents/kWh as a stated range. Judge the levelized cost of electricity from new coal plants with carbon capture (and carbon pricing) against credible estimates current around 2007, in roughly 2007 US dollars. Sources include MIT 'The Future of Coal' (2007), DOE/NETL cost baselines, EIA and the IPCC. True: the central or consensus estimates fall within 8–10 cents/kWh. Mostly true: the central estimate is inside the range, but one secondary assumption (for example the specific carbon price) differs from the claim's framing. Mostly false: central estimates are just outside the range (7.8–8.0 or 10.0–10.2 cents/kWh). False: central estimates are further outside. If credible sources are split, with some inside and some well outside, the verdict is mixed. Later real-world project costs may corroborate but do not replace the estimates.

Set before the research began.

1. E1 Cost and Performance Baseline for Fossil Energy Plants (CMU Seminar slides) U.S. DOE National Energy Technology Laboratory (presented by Julianne Klara; hosted by Carnegie Mellon CEIC) · 26 September 2007

   “Increase in COE ~5 cents/kWh”

2. E2 Cost and Performance Baseline for Fossil Energy Plants (CMU Seminar slides) U.S. DOE National Energy Technology Laboratory (presented by Julianne Klara; hosted by Carnegie Mellon CEIC) · 26 September 2007

   “2January 2007 Dollars, 85% Capacity Factor, 16.4% (no capture) 17.5% (capture) Capital Charge Factor, Coal cost $1.80/106Btu”

3. E3 Cost and Performance Baseline for Fossil Energy Plants (CMU Seminar slides) U.S. DOE National Energy Technology Laboratory (presented by Julianne Klara; hosted by Carnegie Mellon CEIC) · 26 September 2007

   “CCS increases TPC by about 35 percent (or ~ $660/kW)”

4. E4 Cost and Performance Baseline for Fossil Energy Plants (CMU Seminar slides) U.S. DOE National Energy Technology Laboratory (presented by Julianne Klara; hosted by Carnegie Mellon CEIC) · 26 September 2007

   “With CCS: IGCC lowest coal-based option for CCS”

5. E5 Cost and Performance Baseline for Fossil Energy Plants (CMU seminar slides, Julianne Klara, NETL) Carnegie Mellon University Center for Energy and Innovation (hosting NETL slides) · 26 September 2007

   “Increase in COE ~5 cents/kWh”

6. E6 Cost and Performance Baseline for Fossil Energy Plants (CMU seminar slides, Julianne Klara, NETL) Carnegie Mellon University Center for Energy and Innovation (hosting NETL slides) · 26 September 2007

   “January 2007 Dollars, 85% Capacity Factor, 16.4% (no capture) 17.5% (capture) Capital Charge Factor, Coal cost $1.80/106Btu, Natural Gas cost $6.75/106Btu”

7. E7 [PDF] CO Capture Outlook - Carnegie Mellon University Carnegie Mellon University (E.S. Rubin, presentation to the Laboratory Energy R&D Working Group) · 18 April 2007

   “SC w/Econamine SC w/Econamine Scrubbing Scrubbing 69 8.00 (c/kWh)”

8. E8 The Future of Coal MIT (MIT Interdisciplinary Study on the Future of Coal) · 2007

   “One can anticipate the CO2 “price” being in the range $10-$60/tonne-CO2 depending on the nature of the project, with the highest price corresponding to purchase of CO2 from amine capture from an existing PC plant”

NETL's 2007 baseline slides show an increase in cost of electricity of about 5 cents/kWh with capture, in January 2007 dollars (E1, E2, E5, E6), but the quoted material gives no absolute total with capture. The Rubin presentation (E7) shows '8.00 (c/kWh)' next to 'SC w/Econamine', but the fragment doesn't say what the figure measures or on what basis, so it can't settle the range. The MIT study excerpt (E9) gives only a CO2 price range, not a levelized cost of electricity, and E3/E4 give capital cost and technology ranking without cents/kWh figures. Because no labelled central estimate of the cost of coal power with capture is in the evidence, the claim can't be checked against the 8–10 cents/kWh range.