ClaimsElon Musk

“Meaning, in 10 years, I would expect artificial intelligence to be far greater than the sum of human intelligence.”

Elon Musk, interviewee 27 July 2026 Elon Musk The Economist July 23rd 2026 - Full Interview Transcript (Sozai)

Prediction AI timelines and forecasting

Musk said he would expect that in 10 years (by 2036) artificial intelligence will be far greater than the sum of human intelligence.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

deadline 2036 is after 2026-11-04

Cite this claim

Elon Musk, “Musk said he would expect that in 10 years (by 2036) artificial intelligence will be far greater than the sum of human intelligence.” (said 27 July 2026). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_c6d96eb4d0f9, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_c6d96eb4d0f9

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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All of them

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