ClaimsBill Gates

“Traditional banks cannot afford to serve the poor because of their costs.”

Bill and Melinda Gates, joint letter 2015 Bill and Melinda Gates, Annual Letter 2015 (Gates Notes) archived copy

Factual Economics and markets

Traditional banks cannot afford to serve the poor because of their costs.

Mixed Partly true and partly false in roughly equal measure.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

What would count as true or false

The claim is that, as of 2015, the cost structure of traditional banks (branches, staff, transaction costs) made it unprofitable for them to serve poor customers. True: credible research (World Bank Global Findex, CGAP and similar) shows that high cost-to-serve relative to small balances and transactions was a primary reason traditional banks did not serve the poor. Mostly true: cost was a major reason but the absolute 'cannot' overstates it, since some traditional banks did serve poor customers profitably in some markets. Mixed: cost is only one of several roughly equal factors. Mostly false: cost plays only a minor role, or traditional banks commonly served the poor profitably. False: the evidence shows cost was not a barrier.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (3)

  1. E1 WPS7255.txt - Documents & Reports - World Bank World Bank (Global Findex Database 2014, Policy Research Working Paper 7255) · April 2015

    “Affordability is an important barrier to financial inclusion beyond just Latin America and the Caribbean. Globally, 23 percent of adults without an account at a financial institution cited this reason. Fixed transaction costs and annual fees tend to make small transactions unaffordable for large parts of the population in developing economies.”
  2. E2 WPS7255.txt - Documents & Reports - World Bank World Bank (Global Findex Database 2014, Policy Research Working Paper 7255) · April 2015

    “Some might argue that the potential for expanding financial inclusion is limited because 59 percent of unbanked adults cited lack of enough money to use an account as a reason for not having one.”
  3. E3 World Bank. 2014. Global Financial Development Report World Bank (Global Financial Development Report 2014: Financial Inclusion) · 2014

    “While some of these people exhibit no demand for accounts, most are excluded because of barriers such as cost, travel distance, and amount of paperwork.”

Reasoning

E1 (Global Findex 2014) says fixed transaction costs and annual fees make small transactions unaffordable for many people in developing economies, and that 23 percent of unbanked adults cited cost as a reason. That fits a cost barrier tied to how banks are structured. But the same report (E2) says lack of enough money was cited much more often, by 59 percent. E3 lists cost alongside travel distance and paperwork as barriers. So the evidence shows cost was one of several barriers, not clearly the main reason banks did not serve the poor.

Cite this claim

Bill Gates, “Traditional banks cannot afford to serve the poor because of their costs.” (said 2015). Verdict: mixed. Reliability API, claim c_be2b06434ca0, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_be2b06434ca0

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Bill Gates, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by Bill Gates

  1. Resolved true Factual 10 February 2020
    “It has also succeeded in bringing more vaccines and supplies into the market while lowering prices.”

    Gavi has brought more vaccines and supplies into the market while lowering prices.

  2. Mixed Factual 2015
    “If the regulations limit digital banking, as is still the case in most countries, innovators can’t enter.”

    Regulations in most countries still limit digital banking, preventing innovators from entering.

  3. Mostly true Factual 2015
    “Indeed, small loans have helped millions of people, but loans are only one of the financial services the poor need, interest rates are relatively high, and these services have reached only a small…”

    Small loans have helped millions of people but have reached only a small fraction of the poorest, with relatively high interest rates.

  4. Resolved true Factual 7 June 2007
    “For under a dollar, there were interventions that could save lives that just weren’t being delivered.”

    Interventions costing under a dollar could save lives but were not being delivered.

  5. Resolved true Factual 1999
    “In 1995, in The Road Ahead, I used the term friction-free capitalism to describe how the Internet was helping to create Adam Smith’s ideal marketplace”

    In 1995 in The Road Ahead, Bill Gates used the term friction-free capitalism to describe how the Internet was helping create Adam Smith's ideal marketplace.

All of them

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