Gavi has brought more vaccines and supplies into the market while lowering prices.
Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
Judge as of February 2020. True: evidence from Gavi or independent evaluations shows that by then Gavi had (a) increased the number of vaccines or suppliers or the supply available to its markets, for example new vaccines introduced or more manufacturers, and (b) lowered prices for vaccines and/or supplies it buys, for example documented price cuts for pentavalent, pneumococcal or rotavirus vaccines. Mostly true: both hold broadly, with minor exceptions such as some prices rising. Mixed: only one of (a) or (b) is well supported. Mostly false: the gains are marginal or limited to isolated cases presented as general. False: the evidence shows that the supply of vaccines did not expand and that prices did not fall under Gavi.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (4)
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E1 The UK's work with Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance – ICAI – read online Independent Commission for Aid Impact (ICAI), UK · 8 March 2021
“In 2018, there were 17 manufacturers supplying quality-assured Gavi vaccines (of which 11 were in Africa, Asia or Latin America), compared to just five in 2001.”
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E2 The UK's work with Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance – ICAI – read online Independent Commission for Aid Impact (ICAI), UK · 8 March 2021
“Between 2010 and 2018, the cost of immunising a child with pentavalent, pneumococcal and rotavirus vaccines fell by 55% in Gavi eligible countries.”
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E3 Market shaping and market access GIZ (German Federal Enterprise for International Cooperation), author Padmashree Gehl Sampath · 1 September 2025
“Gavi brought down the weighted average vaccine price per child for full immunization using the pentavalent, pneumococcal conjugate and rotavirus vaccines from USD 35 in 2010 to USD 20 in 2015”
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E4 Lessons Learned in Shaping Vaccine Markets in Low-Income Countries: A Review of the Vaccine Market Segment Supported by the GAVI Alliance UK gov.uk Research for Development outputs (Gilchrist & Nanni, Health Policy and Planning) · 1 January 2013
“The prices in Phases I and II of GAVI-supported vaccines failed to decline to a desirable level within a projected 5-year timeframe.”
Reasoning
An independent UK aid watchdog reports that the number of manufacturers supplying quality-assured Gavi vaccines rose from five in 2001 to 17 in 2018 (E1). This shows supply expanded before February 2020. The same watchdog reports that between 2010 and 2018 the cost of immunising a child with pentavalent, pneumococcal and rotavirus vaccines fell by 55% in Gavi-eligible countries (E2). A GIZ paper separately reports the weighted average price falling from USD 35 to USD 20 per child between 2010 and 2015 (E3). An earlier review found that prices in Gavi's first phases did not fall to a desirable level within the projected timeframe (E4), which is a limitation but concerns an earlier period than the later price falls reported in E2 and E3.
Cite this claim
Bill Gates, “Gavi has brought more vaccines and supplies into the market while lowering prices.” (said 10 February 2020). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_88f701887a3d, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_88f701887a3d
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
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