ClaimsBalaji Srinivasan

“Drones and so on may change this.”

Balaji Srinivasan, podcast guest 17 November 2021 Tim Ferriss Show #547 Balaji Srinivasan transcript (tim.blog)

Prediction AI policy and governance

Drones and similar technologies may make government enforcement of compliance cheaper, a trend he places around the late 2030s to 2040.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

deadline 2040 is after 2026-11-04

Cite this claim

Balaji Srinivasan, “Drones and similar technologies may make government enforcement of compliance cheaper, a trend he places around the late 2030s to 2040.” (said 17 November 2021). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_9c4acbb03ca9, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_9c4acbb03ca9

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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More prediction claims by Balaji Srinivasan

  1. Resolved true Prediction 27 August 2024
    “France may not be able to hold him prisoner for long.”

    France may not be able to hold Telegram founder Pavel Durov in custody for long.

  2. Mostly false Prediction 25 March 2021
    “I think that by 2024, you're going to have to use VPN.”

    By 2024, people in the US will have to use a VPN because of ISP-level internet filtering and censorship.

  3. Resolved true Prediction 25 April 2018
    “I think China may well be vectoring in that direction.”

    China may be moving toward using AI for pervasive, all-seeing control of its population.

  4. Mixed Prediction 25 March 2021
    “So the fear is that, if vaccines are eventually rolled out and if enough Americans take them, then by 2023 or 2024, people will be spoiling for a fight to go and beat up China as the one legitimated…”

    He said he feared that, if vaccines were rolled out and enough Americans took them, by 2023 or 2024 people would be spoiling for a fight with China as the one legitimated enemy.

  5. Mostly true Prediction 31 March 2020
    “Censoring anyone (let alone a head of state) in this way will push people towards censorship-resistant platforms.”

    Censoring anyone in this way, let alone a head of state, will push people towards censorship-resistant platforms.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.