ClaimsRay Kurzweil

“There is no evidence for it, and even if true, it only delays matters by a decade or two.”

Ray Kurzweil, essay author 2001 The Law of Accelerating Returns (Kurzweil Library) archived copy

Factual Science and research methods

There is no evidence for the theory under discussion, and even if it were true, it would only delay replicating brain function by a decade or two.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

Reasoning

Refers to an unspecified theory so its terms are undefined.

Cite this claim

Ray Kurzweil, “There is no evidence for the theory under discussion, and even if it were true, it would only delay replicating brain function by a decade or two.” (said 2001). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_8ba7fb736bcf, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_8ba7fb736bcf

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Ray Kurzweil, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by Ray Kurzweil

  1. Mostly false Factual 9 July 2024
    “Right now, you’re getting back about four months a year.”

    Currently scientific progress gives back about four months of life expectancy per year.

  2. Mostly false Factual 9 July 2024
    “And then AlphaFold 2 in 2022 went through 200 million proteins and got the shape exactly correct, and that’s going to help come up with new medications.”

    AlphaFold 2 in 2022 went through 200 million proteins and got their shapes exactly correct, which will help produce new medications.

  3. Resolved true Factual 9 July 2024
    “As of two or three years ago, we had gone through 170,000 proteins.”

    As of two or three years ago, 170,000 proteins had been worked through by people.

  4. Mixed Factual May 2020
    “The current method for testing these few treatments is to organize a few hundred human subjects and then test them over about a year and a half, at a cost of hundreds of millions of dollars.”

    The current method for testing the few treatments that are tried organizes a few hundred human subjects and tests them over about a year and a half, at a cost of hundreds of millions of dollars.

  5. Mostly true Factual May 2020
    “Very often, the first several solutions tested on humans are not ideal and lead to other solutions that also take a few years to develop and test.”

    Very often the first several solutions tested on humans are not ideal and lead to other solutions that also take a few years to develop and test.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.