Altman said he thinks there will be a new paradigm for slower, sequential thinking in AI systems.
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Reasoning
The prediction has no horizon and 'new paradigm' is vague.
Cite this claim
Sam Altman, “Altman said he thinks there will be a new paradigm for slower, sequential thinking in AI systems.” (said 18 March 2024). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_70be28e4bebf, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_70be28e4bebf
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More prediction claims by Sam Altman
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Mostly true
“on many coding tasks, o3-mini will outperform o1 at a massive cost reduction!”
On many coding tasks, OpenAI's o3-mini will outperform o1 at a massive cost reduction.
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Mostly true
“And it’s going to be sad because GPT-5 is going to launch and there’s going to be another big spike in demand and we’re not going to be able to serve it.”
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“AGI will feel within reach to many people in the industry”
By 2025, AGI will feel within reach to many people in the AI industry.
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Resolved true
“We will get net-gain nuclear fusion working at prototype scale”
By 2025, net-gain nuclear fusion will be working at prototype scale.
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Resolved true
“I believe her.”
Agrees with Kellyanne Conway that Trump is a man of action who is just getting started.
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.