AI will show slightly better coding in 2025, then slightly better agents and coding in 2026.
Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.
Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Reasoning
deadline 2026 is after 2026-11-04
Cite this claim
Scott Alexander, “AI will show slightly better coding in 2025, then slightly better agents and coding in 2026.” (said 3 April 2025). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_700bfddfe62c, method 0.1.0+8bea457b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_700bfddfe62c
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More prediction claims by Scott Alexander
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