ClaimsNouriel Roubini

“In the book I extensively discuss the threat to liberal democracies coming from a backlash against trade, against technology, and against our social and political institutions.”

Nouriel Roubini, author, interviewee 6 November 2022 Nouriel Roubini interview: recession, inflation, Great Depression (Fortune) archived copy

Factual Their own work or organisation

Roubini's book MegaThreats extensively discusses the threat to liberal democracies from backlash against trade, technology and social and political institutions.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

What would count as true or false

Check the text of Roubini's 'MegaThreats' (2022). True: the book contains substantial discussion, such as dedicated chapters or sections, of threats to liberal democracies from backlash against trade (deglobalisation or protectionism), against technology (e.g. AI and job loss) and against social and political institutions (populism). Mostly true: all three themes are discussed and linked to threats to democracy, but one is treated only briefly. Mixed: only one or two of the three themes are covered substantively. Mostly false: the themes appear only in passing. False: the book does not discuss these themes.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (4)

  1. E1 Summary: MegaThreats: Ten Dangerous Trends That Imperil Our Future, And How to Survive Them by Nouriel Roubini - Paminy Paminy · 17 January 2023

    “Chapter 7 The End of Globalization? 144”
  2. E2 Summary: MegaThreats: Ten Dangerous Trends That Imperil Our Future, And How to Survive Them by Nouriel Roubini - Paminy Paminy · 17 January 2023

    “Chapter 8 The AI Threat 16”
  3. E3 Nouriel Roubini’s Megathreats is not a book for the fainthearted Reaction · 14 January 2023

    “Globalisation offered great promise and real achievements, not least for low-cost economies which saw poverty levels decline; but offshoring and technology transfers have had unintended consequences in the United States and Western Europe fuelling public resentment and helping generate populist politics.”
  4. E4 DRAFT: Review of Nouriel Roubini: Megathreats: Ten Dangerous Trends Þt Imperil Our Future, & How to Survive Þem Brad DeLong's Substack · 26 October 2022

    “And Nouriel doesn’t even mention:”

Reasoning

The evidence shows the book has chapters on the end of globalisation [E1] and the AI threat [E2], and a review links globalisation and technology transfer to populist politics [E3]. It does not show how substantively each theme is treated or tied to threats to democracy, so the evidence cannot separate the true, mostly true and mixed outcomes under the criteria.

Cite this claim

Nouriel Roubini, “Roubini's book MegaThreats extensively discusses the threat to liberal democracies from backlash against trade, technology and social and political institutions.” (said 6 November 2022). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_5cb5c5796346, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_5cb5c5796346

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Nouriel Roubini, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by Nouriel Roubini

  1. Resolved true Factual 29 November 2023
    “In my recent piece for @ProSyn , I discuss the rise in economic threats and their interactions with various other social, political, environmental, and technological developments.”

    Roubini published a recent Project Syndicate piece discussing the rise in economic threats and their interactions with social, political, environmental and technological developments.

  2. Resolved true Factual 27 December 2019
    “The latest issue of the Horizons magazine by @CIRSD includes my article on”

    The latest issue of CIRSD's Horizons magazine includes Roubini's article "The Specter of Deglobalization and the Thucydides Trap".

  3. Mostly true Factual 2009
    “I start to get worried about the US economy and the financial system in 2006 when I started the housing market and I saw a bubble that was getting out of control, that was unsustainable both in terms…”

    Roubini began worrying about the US economy and financial system in 2006 after seeing an unsustainable housing bubble in home prices and mortgages.

  4. Mostly true Factual 2009
    “I wrote about my concerns in the summer of 2006 and I gave a speech in front of a few hundred staff for the International Monetary Fund in early September.”

    Roubini wrote about his concerns in summer 2006 and gave a speech to a few hundred International Monetary Fund staff in early September 2006.

  5. Mostly true Factual 2009
    “So people were quite sceptical about these kind of predictions.”

    In 2006 people were sceptical of Roubini's predictions, talking instead of high growth, a Goldilocks economy and a gently deflating minor housing bubble.

All of them

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