ClaimsSteven Pinker

“the number of religious people worldwide will probably go up”

Steven Pinker, interviewee 9 October 2018 An Interview with Steven Pinker (Santa Barbara Independent) archived copy

Prediction Philosophy, ethics and society

The number of religious people worldwide will probably go up.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

Prediction has no stated horizon.

Cite this claim

Steven Pinker, “The number of religious people worldwide will probably go up.” (said 9 October 2018). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_5c83a82e1528, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_5c83a82e1528

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Steven Pinker, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Steven Pinker

  1. Resolved true Prediction 30 December 2022
    “Will ChatGPT put Google Search out of business? Not yet.”

    ChatGPT will not put Google Search out of business in the near term.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.