ClaimsEliezer Yudkowsky

“This class of technology can't drive a car because it will sometimes crash the car.”

Eliezer Yudkowsky, interviewee on Bankless podcast February 2023 Full Transcript: Eliezer Yudkowsky on the Bankless podcast (LessWrong)

Factual AI capabilities

Large language model technology cannot drive a car, because it will sometimes crash the car.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

What would count as true or false

Judge as of February 2023. True: as of then, no LLM-based system had been shown to drive a car reliably (e.g. no deployed or validated LLM-driven vehicle), and authoritative sources point to unreliability or occasional catastrophic errors as a barrier. Mostly true: LLMs could not drive cars then, but the stated reason (it would sometimes crash) is only one of several main reasons, or there were small research demos that do not amount to driving a car. Mixed: LLM-based systems were showing meaningful driving ability in research, so 'can't' is only partly right. Mostly false: LLM-type systems were already doing safe driving in controlled settings, and the claim exaggerates a real reliability concern. False: as of February 2023, LLM-type technology was demonstrably driving cars at or above the reliability of deployed systems.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (4)

  1. E1 Evaluation of Large Language Models for Decision Making in Autonomous Driving arXiv (preprint)

    “Recently, there has been a number of studies that use LLMs to perform autonomous driving [10, 7, 12, 4, 9].”
  2. E2 Evaluation of Large Language Models for Decision Making in Autonomous Driving arXiv (preprint)

    “Furthermore, to conduct a Proof of Concept (POC) for the feasibility of implementing these abilities in actual vehicles, we developed a system that uses LLMs to drive a vehicle.”
  3. E3 Evaluation of Large Language Models for Decision Making in Autonomous Driving arXiv (preprint)

    “Due to the safety concerns associated with making lane changes on public roads, as in simulations, this experiment was conducted in a private area.”
  4. E4 Evaluation of Large Language Models for Decision Making in Autonomous Driving arXiv (preprint)

    “Previous research has not thoroughly investigated the accuracy of LLMs in spatial-aware decision making through quantitative experiments.”

Reasoning

The only evidence is an undated preprint. It says a number of studies used LLMs for autonomous driving and describes its own proof-of-concept vehicle test held in a private area [E1][E2][E3]. It does not show what LLM-based driving looked like as of February 2023, or whether unreliability was a recognised barrier at that time, so the criteria cannot be applied.

Cite this claim

Eliezer Yudkowsky, “Large language model technology cannot drive a car, because it will sometimes crash the car.” (said February 2023). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_55f3d6ba1d45, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_55f3d6ba1d45

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Eliezer Yudkowsky, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by Eliezer Yudkowsky

  1. Resolved true Factual September 2025
    “We learned that that's false, but we did not learn that you can have a thing that can redesign a tree and build an AI much smarter than itself, that builds an AI much smarter than itself, and that…”

    No AI has yet been shown to redesign a tree and build a much smarter AI that builds a still smarter AI; that scenario has not occurred.

  2. Mostly true Factual 25 March 2024
    “I was a passionate noticer of the human brain not being homogenous, and was therefore unpleasantly surprised by transformers scaling as well as they did.”

    Yudkowsky was unpleasantly surprised by how well transformers scaled, having believed the human brain is not homogeneous.

  3. Mostly true Factual 6 April 2023
    “First of all, you realize in principle that the task of minimizing losses on predicting human text does not stop when you’re as smart as a human, right?”

    In principle, the task of minimizing loss on predicting human text does not stop being improvable once a system is as smart as a human.

  4. Mostly true Factual 30 March 2023
    “Transformers are the main thing like that.”

    Transformers were the main architectural change that gave a non-linear jump in performance, compared with earlier approaches such as RNNs.

  5. Mostly true Factual 30 March 2023
    “Because the basic paradigm of machine learning that we are presently operating under is that you can have the loss function, but only for things you can evaluate.”

    The basic paradigm of machine learning currently in use is that a loss function can be defined only for things that can be evaluated.

All of them

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