ClaimsNouriel Roubini

“But while the Biden has a much better handle on the issues, the new doctrine will be risky”

Nouriel Roubini, summarising his own article 3 August 2021 Post by @Nouriel on X, 2021-08-03 (X)

Prediction AI policy and governance Political

The Biden administration's new neo-populist economic doctrine will be risky.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

'Risky' is vague and has no horizon, so no record could settle it.

Cite this claim

Nouriel Roubini, “The Biden administration's new neo-populist economic doctrine will be risky.” (said 3 August 2021). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_4b73d4f4fda2, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_4b73d4f4fda2

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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More prediction claims by Nouriel Roubini

  1. Mostly false Prediction 13 September 2018
    “unlike in 2008, governments will lack the policy tools to manage it.”

    Unlike in 2008, governments will lack the policy tools to manage the next downturn around 2020.

  2. Resolved false Prediction 30 June 2024
    “In a note to my clients this week I made a wide out-of-consensus call that the RN - Le Pen’s party - will win an absolute majority in the current French parliamentary elections (60% probability for…”

    The RN (Le Pen's party) will win an absolute majority in the 2024 French parliamentary elections, with 60% probability as the baseline scenario.

  3. Mostly false Prediction 27 October 2023
    “As I predicted in early September in an interview with Bloomberg”

    US stocks could see a 10% correction (predicted in a Bloomberg interview in early September 2023).

  4. Mostly false Prediction 3 January 2023
    “They are talking tough [but if] faced with a debt crisis and an economic crisis, they’re going to wimp out.”

    Faced with a debt crisis and an economic crisis, central banks will back down from tough talk and not raise rates further.

  5. Resolved true Prediction 3 January 2023
    “China’s not going to take lightly this attempt at full technological and economic containment.”

    China will respond strongly to US technological and economic containment rather than take it lightly.

All of them

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