Marcus argues that AI will not proceed until the field allows some "neatness", meaning some innate structure (nativism), in its systems.
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Reasoning
No horizon, and what it means for AI to "proceed" is undefined.
Cite this claim
Gary Marcus, “Marcus argues that AI will not proceed until the field allows some "neatness", meaning some innate structure (nativism), in its systems.” (said 14 November 2019). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_4938d8aaa81e, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_4938d8aaa81e
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More prediction claims by Gary Marcus
-
Mostly true
“Some of its advice will be head-scratchingly bad.”
-
Mostly true
“GPT-5 will surely be better, a lot better than GPT-4.”
-
Resolved true
“GPT-5 really is about to drop, no foolin’.”
-
Resolved true
“It will still make a significant number of shake-your-head stupid errors, in ways that are hard to fully predict.”
GPT-5 will still make a significant number of obvious errors that are hard to predict.
-
Mostly true
“Neurosymbolic AI will become much more prominent.”
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.