ClaimsTyler Cowen

“So I think within ten years we’ll be bidding for immigrants, will be much more selective, use more market mechanisms, and use it to raise revenue.”

Tyler Cowen, interviewee 4 March 2026 Forecast 2050 - Tyler Cowen Transcript (Finn Murphy Substack) archived copy

Prediction Other Political

Cowen said he thinks that within ten years the US will be bidding for immigrants, be much more selective, use more market mechanisms and use immigration to raise revenue.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

deadline 2036 is after 2026-11-04

Cite this claim

Tyler Cowen, “Cowen said he thinks that within ten years the US will be bidding for immigrants, be much more selective, use more market mechanisms and use immigration to raise revenue.” (said 4 March 2026). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_29ee7c3bb1ba, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_29ee7c3bb1ba

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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More prediction claims by Tyler Cowen

  1. Mostly true Prediction 29 December 2021
    “I think they will attract a fair number of students.”

    The University of Austin will attract a fair number of students.

  2. Mostly true Prediction 29 December 2021
    “They will genuinely court STEM majors and give them a rigorous education.”

    The University of Austin will genuinely court STEM majors and give them a rigorous education.

  3. Resolved true Prediction 29 December 2021
    “I think they will genuinely teach classic works.”

    The University of Austin will genuinely teach classic works.

  4. Mostly true Prediction 13 May 2019
    “The trade war likely will hurt China more than the United States”

    The US-China trade war will likely hurt China more than the United States.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.