ClaimsSam Altman

“At some point, someone will probably try to give a program the fitness function of “survive and reproduce”.”

Sam Altman, blog author February 2015 Machine intelligence, part 1 (Sam Altman's blog) archived copy

Prediction AI safety and alignment

At some point someone will probably try to give a program the fitness function of survive and reproduce.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

Prediction with no horizon ('at some point') and vague.

Cite this claim

Sam Altman, “At some point someone will probably try to give a program the fitness function of survive and reproduce.” (said February 2015). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_28c1bea0d5e9, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_28c1bea0d5e9

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Sam Altman, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Sam Altman

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  2. Mostly true Prediction 21 December 2024
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    On many coding tasks, OpenAI's o3-mini will outperform o1 at a massive cost reduction.

  3. Mostly true Prediction 5 January 2019
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    By 2025, AGI will feel within reach to many people in the AI industry.

  4. Resolved true Prediction 5 January 2019
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    By 2025, net-gain nuclear fusion will be working at prototype scale.

  5. Resolved true Prediction 2017
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All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.