Taleb has written five articles for the New York Times in the past, under pressure from the publisher.

The main test is the number of New York Times articles (op-eds or guest essays) with Taleb as author or co-author published before 2019-12-28. True: exactly five, and no evidence contradicts that he wrote them under pressure from his publisher. Mostly true: the count is four or six, or it is five but credible evidence shows the publisher-pressure detail is inaccurate. Mixed: the count is three or seven. Mostly false: the count is otherwise off by more than two but he did write for the NYT. False: he had written no NYT articles.

Set before the research began.

1. E1 Audit Notes: What Would Hammurabi Do?, WSJ + OWS, Fisking Davidson Columbia Journalism Review (CJR) · 8 November 2011

   “Nassim Nicholas Taleb doesn’t pussyfoot around in his New York Times op-ed arguing that we should “End Bonuses for Bankers”:”

2. E2 NYT: Throw Out the Probability Models nassimtaleb.org (unofficial news site) · 26 July 2012

   “Nassim recently did a short opinion piece in the The New York Times Room for Debate area titled Throw Out the Probability Models (April 2012).”

3. E3 LEARNING TO EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED Edge.org

   “First published as an Op-Ed Page article in The New York Times on April 8, 2004.”

4. E4 LEARNING TO EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED Edge.org

   “[Editor's Note: First published as an Op-Ed Page article in The New York Times on April 8, 2004.]”

5. E5 Life Advice: Be Careful of Life Advice Farnam Street (fs.blog) · 8 June 2016

   “I was told to not insult the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal; the more I insulted them the nicer they were to me and the more they solicited Op-Eds.”

6. E6 Edge: LEARNING TO EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED Edge.org · 1 January 2004

   “[Editor's Note: First published as an Op-Ed Page article in The New York Times on April 8th.]”

7. E7 Did Bonuses Really Cause the Financial Crisis? - CNBC CNBC · 8 November 2011

   “An affirmative answer to those questions is the underlying thesis of Nassim Taleb's op-ed in the New York Times today.”

The evidence confirms at least three separate New York Times opinion pieces by Taleb before the claim date: an April 2004 op-ed (E3, E4, E6), the November 2011 op-ed "End Bonuses for Bankers" (E1, E7), and an April 2012 Room for Debate piece (E2). E5 shows that the NYT asked him for op-eds but gives no count. The evidence never gives the total number of NYT articles he wrote, so it cannot be judged against the five-article figure. The publisher-pressure detail is also neither confirmed nor contradicted.