ClaimsVinod Khosla

“So I would suspect by 2040, $30,000 will buy—and maybe $10,000 will buy—much more than you can buy if you have $100,000 income today. So the level of income you need in a deflationary economy will be very different.”

Vinod Khosla, investor, interviewed 4 March 2026 OpenAI investor Vinod Khosla predicts today's 5-year-olds won't ever need to get jobs thanks to AI (Fortune) archived copy

Prediction Economics and markets

Khosla said he suspects that by 2040, $30,000 (and maybe $10,000) will buy much more than $100,000 of income buys today.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

deadline 2040 is after 2026-11-04

Cite this claim

Vinod Khosla, “Khosla said he suspects that by 2040, $30,000 (and maybe $10,000) will buy much more than $100,000 of income buys today.” (said 4 March 2026). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_1f914a53c187, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_1f914a53c187

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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More prediction claims by Vinod Khosla

  1. Resolved false Prediction 23 December 2010
    “Now almost certainly, the traditional lithium ion bulk batteries will not be around in 15 years.”

    Traditional lithium-ion bulk batteries will almost certainly not be around in 15 years.

  2. Mostly false Prediction 23 December 2010
    “The Chevy Volt, which is a good car, is expected by 2012, to ship 40,000 units.”

    The Chevy Volt is expected to ship 40,000 units by 2012.

  3. Resolved false Prediction 28 September 2007
    “I believe 50 million acres of land in this country could supply all our biofuel needs.”

    Khosla said he believed 50 million acres of US land could supply all US biofuel needs.

  4. Mostly true Prediction 28 September 2007
    “It would probably add about 2 cents a kilowatt hour to the price of coal, depending upon the price of carbon.”

    Pricing carbon and requiring carbon capture and sequestration would probably add about 2 cents per kilowatt hour to the cost of coal power, depending on the carbon price.

  5. Mostly true Prediction 28 September 2007
    “Not only that, even if Germany switched over completely to photovoltaics, unless India and China adopted them, we are not going to see a change in the trajectory of climate change.”

    Even if Germany switched completely to photovoltaics, climate change's trajectory will not change unless India and China also adopt them.

All of them

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