ClaimsElon Musk

“I would say civil war in Britain is probably 20 years away.”

Elon Musk, interviewee 27 July 2026 Elon Musk The Economist July 23rd 2026 - Full Interview Transcript (Sozai)

Prediction Other global risks

A civil war in Britain is probably about 20 years away.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

deadline 2046 is after 2026-11-04

Cite this claim

Elon Musk, “A civil war in Britain is probably about 20 years away.” (said 27 July 2026). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_1418f73c1dc4, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_1418f73c1dc4

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Elon Musk, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

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  5. Mostly false Prediction 26 January 2023
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All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.