ClaimsBalaji Srinivasan

“I do think that if, in the 2010s, social media became what all politics is about, by the end of the 2020s, cryptocurrency becomes what all politics is about.”

Balaji Srinivasan, interviewee 4 July 2022 Tim Ferriss Show #606 Balaji: 5-10-Year Predictions, How to Start a New Country (tim.blog) archived copy

Prediction Economics and markets

By the end of the 2020s, cryptocurrency will be what all politics is about, as social media was in the 2010s.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

deadline 2029 is after 2026-11-04

Cite this claim

Balaji Srinivasan, “By the end of the 2020s, cryptocurrency will be what all politics is about, as social media was in the 2010s.” (said 4 July 2022). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_139ebd279d83, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_139ebd279d83

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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More prediction claims by Balaji Srinivasan

  1. Mixed Prediction 30 March 2020
    “When checks hit, people will spend on consumer staples.”

    When US stimulus checks arrive, people will spend them on consumer staples, after which prices will rise.

  2. Mostly true Prediction 13 March 2020
    “So this is going to do is it's going to force everybody to look at remote work as not a auxiliary, but as a primary.”

    The pandemic will force everybody to treat remote work as primary rather than auxiliary.

  3. Mostly true Prediction 13 March 2020
    “And so this is going to be a gigantic shot in the arm for every diagnostic company in the world, every medical imaging company.”

    The pandemic will be a gigantic boost for every diagnostic and medical imaging company in the world, with defense-budget-level spending.

  4. Resolved true Prediction 13 March 2020
    “Well, I think it's definitely going to cause at least a recession, but likely something more severe than that.”

    COVID-19 will cause at least a recession, likely something more severe.

  5. Mostly false Prediction 25 April 2018
    “I think that’s going to structurally reduce fees over the years to come.”

    Blockchain payment rails will structurally reduce financial fees over the coming years.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.