ClaimsRodney Brooks

“There are no self driving cars deployed”

Rodney Brooks, blog author 1 January 2024 Predictions Scorecard, 2024 January 01 (rodneybrooks.com)

Factual AI capabilities

As of the start of 2024 there are no self-driving cars deployed, despite what companies have tried to project.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

What would count as true or false

Judged as of 1 January 2024 on the claim's literal wording that no self-driving cars were deployed. False if driverless vehicles without a safety driver were carrying members of the public in commercial service at that date (for example, Waymo's paid driverless rides in Phoenix and San Francisco). Mostly false if that was so, but the deployments were small, geofenced and remotely supported, so that the claim overstates a real gap between company projections and what was deployed (for example, read as no general or personally owned self-driving cars). Mixed if, read in the context Brooks gives, the claim plainly means no deployment at scale, and the evidence shows only limited deployments. True only if no driverless vehicles were in public service at that date.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (2)

  1. E1 Waymo to launch commercial robotaxi service in Austin by end of the year | TechCrunch TechCrunch · 13 March 2024

    “Waymo also operates a robotaxi service in Phoenix, San Francisco and soon Los Angeles.”
  2. E2 Waymo to launch commercial robotaxi service in Austin by end of the year | TechCrunch TechCrunch · 13 March 2024

    “In August, Waymo began operating a commercial service 24 hours a day, seven days a week throughout the city of San Francisco after receiving approval from the CPUC.”

Reasoning

E1 and E2 (March 2024) show that Waymo ran a commercial robotaxi service in Phoenix and San Francisco, and that the San Francisco service ran citywide from an August whose year is not stated. Neither item says the vehicles carried the public without a safety driver, which is the test in the criteria, and neither gives the scale of the deployments. So the evidence does not settle whether the claim is false or mostly false.

Cite this claim

Rodney Brooks, “As of the start of 2024 there are no self-driving cars deployed, despite what companies have tried to project.” (said 1 January 2024). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_0e911d2ad82f, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_0e911d2ad82f

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Rodney Brooks, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by Rodney Brooks

  1. Mostly true Factual 1 January 2026
    “But since 1991 I have made a distinction between two concepts where a machine, or creature can be either, neither, or both situated and embodied.”

    Since 1991 Brooks has distinguished between situatedness and embodiment as two separate properties a machine or creature can have.

  2. Mostly true Factual 1 January 2026
    “Once the pick orientation and vacuum gripper selection has been made it is really an open loop as all the work is done by the indiscriminate force of suction and the mutual compliance of the gripper…”

    Once pick orientation and vacuum gripper are selected, suction grasping is open loop, relying on suction force and compliance of gripper and object.

  3. Mostly true Factual 1 January 2025
    “Each column from bottom to top is a pure feed forward network, with no search, no iteration, no conventional algorithm at all.”

    In the 2017 'Attention Is All You Need' transformer architecture, each column from bottom to top is a pure feed-forward network with no search, iteration or conventional algorithm.

  4. Mostly true Factual 1 January 2024
    “By March of 2023, it was clear that the next big thing had arrived in AI, and that it was Large Language Models.”

    By March 2023 it was clear that large language models were the next big thing in AI.

  5. Resolved true Factual 18 April 2023
    “@yejinchoinka is providing a “common sense” rebuttal on the @TED stage.”

    Yejin Choi gave a "common sense" rebuttal on the TED stage in April 2023.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.