ClaimsBill Ackman

“Our portfolio companies' relatively higher EPS growth rate combined with their lower current valuation relative to the S&P 500 should increase the likelihood our investment performance exceeds that of the S&P Index over the long term.”

Pershing Square Holdings letter signed by Bill Ackman, CEO 12 August 2026 Pershing Square H1 2026 Letter To Shareholders (Seeking Alpha) archived copy

Prediction Their own work or organisation

Pershing Square's portfolio's higher EPS growth and lower valuation than the S&P 500 should increase the likelihood its performance exceeds the S&P 500 over the long term.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

Reasoning

Vague long-term probability statement with no horizon.

Cite this claim

Bill Ackman, “Pershing Square's portfolio's higher EPS growth and lower valuation than the S&P 500 should increase the likelihood its performance exceeds the S&P 500 over the long term.” (said 12 August 2026). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_07f2c8e4cded, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_07f2c8e4cded

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Bill Ackman, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Bill Ackman

  1. Resolved true Prediction 19 August 2021
    “The Sponsor Warrants will likely be worthless if we do not consummate a high-quality transaction on favorable terms.”

    The Sponsor Warrants will likely be worthless if PSTH does not complete a high-quality transaction on favorable terms.

  2. Resolved true Prediction 19 August 2021
    “If we are successful in securing SPARC’s approval, and I am confident that we will get it done, we will have a clear path to mitigate the harm that this litigation has and will continue to cause to…”

    PSTH will secure SPARC's approval, giving a path to mitigate the harm the litigation causes shareholders and warrant holders.

  3. Mixed Prediction August 2024
    “In its land sales segment, the company is on track to generate nearly $300 million in full-year profits.”

    Howard Hughes' land sales segment is on track to generate nearly $300 million in full-year 2024 profits.

  4. Mixed Prediction August 2024
    “The launch of Smoked Brisket for a limited time starting in September, one of the company's most requested menu items, should further improve trends.”

    Chipotle's limited-time Smoked Brisket launch starting in September 2024 should further improve sales trends.

  5. Mostly true Prediction August 2024
    “We believe that UMG's underperformance this quarter will prove to be short-term in nature and does not impact our view of UMG's medium and long-term growth prospects.”

    Pershing Square believed Universal Music Group's underperformance in the latest quarter would prove short-term and said it did not change its view of UMG's medium and long-term growth prospects.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.