ClaimsBalaji Srinivasan

“So I think the future business model of governments, is A, subscription and B, inflation.”

Balaji Srinivasan, interviewee 17 November 2021 Tim Ferriss Show #547 Balaji Srinivasan transcript (tim.blog)

Prediction Economics and markets

The future business model of governments will be subscription and inflation.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

Prediction with no horizon and vague terms; government business model can't be cleanly tested.

Cite this claim

Balaji Srinivasan, “The future business model of governments will be subscription and inflation.” (said 17 November 2021). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_0020d0d732b5, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_0020d0d732b5

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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More prediction claims by Balaji Srinivasan

  1. Mixed Prediction 30 March 2020
    “When checks hit, people will spend on consumer staples.”

    When US stimulus checks arrive, people will spend them on consumer staples, after which prices will rise.

  2. Mostly true Prediction 13 March 2020
    “So this is going to do is it's going to force everybody to look at remote work as not a auxiliary, but as a primary.”

    The pandemic will force everybody to treat remote work as primary rather than auxiliary.

  3. Mostly true Prediction 13 March 2020
    “And so this is going to be a gigantic shot in the arm for every diagnostic company in the world, every medical imaging company.”

    The pandemic will be a gigantic boost for every diagnostic and medical imaging company in the world, with defense-budget-level spending.

  4. Resolved true Prediction 13 March 2020
    “Well, I think it's definitely going to cause at least a recession, but likely something more severe than that.”

    COVID-19 will cause at least a recession, likely something more severe.

  5. Mostly false Prediction 25 April 2018
    “I think that’s going to structurally reduce fees over the years to come.”

    Blockchain payment rails will structurally reduce financial fees over the coming years.

All of them

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