Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
-
Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
78 72 83 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
64 43 83 -
Promises
Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?
Insufficient record: 0 promises resolved, 5 needed for a score.
All types combined: 77 (likely 71 to 82, high confidence), from 84 claims: 79 factual claims, 5 predictions. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
Yann LeCun's claims
2 claims
| Verdict | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mostly false | Factual | 2019 | Users upload 2 to 3 billion photos on Facebook every day. Factual · 2019 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly false | Factual | 15 May 2014 | Convolutional nets were always the record holder on MNIST, and SVMs never really managed to beat them there. Factual · 15 May 2014 | AI capabilities |
“Every day, users upload 2 to 3 billion photos on Facebook.”
Yann LeCun, FAIR researcher, paper author 2019 ISSCC 2019 Plenary: Deep Learning Hardware: Past, Present and Future (yann.lecun.com)
Users upload 2 to 3 billion photos on Facebook every day.
Mostly false False in substance, right in a detail.
What would count as true or false
Judge as of 2019. True: Facebook or Meta figures, or reliable reporting from around 2018–2019, put daily photo uploads to Facebook (the claim's scope; figures including Instagram, WhatsApp and Messenger count only if Facebook's own share is in range) between about 2 and 3 billion. Mostly true: the figure is just outside the range (within about 10%, e.g. 1.8–3.3 billion) or the cited figure includes the company's other apps. Mixed: the sources conflict, some inside and some well outside the range. Mostly false: the documented figure is well outside the range but the same order of magnitude (e.g. 300–350 million for Facebook alone, with 2–3 billion only for all apps). False: the figure is an order of magnitude off with no reasonable basis.
Evidence
- The Scale of Creative Work Uploaded to the Internet Per Second Spectralplex · 27 June 2019
“Facebook mentioned in an Internet.org white paper that users are uploading 350 million photos per day, or nearly 2.5 billion photos every week.”
Reasoning
E1, a 2019 independent article, cites a Facebook figure from an Internet.org white paper of 350 million photos uploaded per day (nearly 2.5 billion per week). That is well below the claimed 2–3 billion per day but of the same order of magnitude. The 2.5 billion figure is a weekly total, not a daily one. The resolution criteria name 300–350 million per day for Facebook alone as a mostly false outcome, though this rests on a single source repeating a figure from an Internet.org white paper [E1].
Cite this claim
Yann LeCun, “Users upload 2 to 3 billion photos on Facebook every day.” (said 2019). Verdict: mostly false. Reliability API, claim c_d934ce7592bf, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_d934ce7592bf
Claims without a verdict
- Unresolvable 110
- Not yet due 3
- Not researched 309
- Not checkable 669
Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for Yann LeCun? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.