ClaimsPeople

Rodney Brooks

Rodney Brooks is a roboticist, MIT professor emeritus, and co-founder of iRobot, Rethink Robotics and Robust.AI.

1,166 claims collected, 291 researched, 88 resolved. Report of 5 November 2026, method 0.1.0+c876030c.

Scores by kind of claim

Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.

  • Factual claims

    Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

    83 77 88

    High confidence, 79 factual claims resolved. From 17 documents, 2014 to 2026; 19 documents sampled from 35 candidates found.

    Not scored: 31 unresolvable, 17 checkable only against their own records.

    See the factual claims

  • Predictions

    Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

    67 49 83

    Low confidence, 8 predictions resolved. From 6 documents, 2018 to 2026; 19 documents sampled from 35 candidates found.

    Not scored: 91 unresolvable. 60 more fall due later.

    Does not yet allow for how likely each prediction was when made.

    See the predictions

  • Promises

    Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?

    Insufficient record: 1 promise resolved, 5 needed for a score.

    Not scored: 3 not yet due.

    See the promises

All types combined: 81 (likely 76 to 86, high confidence), from 87 claims: 79 factual claims, 8 predictions. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.

Rodney Brooks's claims

1 claim

1 claim, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictKindSaidClaimTopic
Resolved false Prediction 1 Jan 2024 After its first crewed test flight in April 2024, Boeing's Starliner is expected to fly with a crew once a year. Prediction · 1 Jan 2024 Technology
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Rodney Brooks

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Prediction Technology

“Thereafter it is expected to fly with a crew once a year.”

Rodney Brooks, blog author 1 January 2024 Predictions Scorecard, 2024 January 01 (rodneybrooks.com)

After its first crewed test flight in April 2024, Boeing's Starliner is expected to fly with a crew once a year.

Resolved false The record shows it did not happen or was not so.

What would count as true or false

This is judged as a forecast that Starliner would fly a crewed mission about once a year after its first crewed test flight, tested over the first full year after that flight (calendar 2025). True: the crewed test flight took place in 2024 and at least one more crewed Starliner flight launched in calendar 2025. Mostly true: the same holds, but the test flight took place in a month of 2024 other than April. Mostly false: the next crewed Starliner flight launched after 2025 but by the end of 2026. False: no crewed Starliner flight launched in 2025, as shown by NASA's flight schedule or reports that missions were delayed or turned into uncrewed or cargo flights, and none launched by the end of 2026 either.

Evidence

  1. NASA Releases Report on Starliner Crewed Flight Test Investigation - NASA NASA · 19 February 2026
    “Starliner launched June 5, 2024, on its first crewed test flight to the International Space Station.”
  2. NASA, Boeing Modify Commercial Crew Contract - NASA NASA · 24 November 2025
    “NASA and Boeing are targeting no earlier than April 2026 to fly the uncrewed Starliner-1 pending completion of rigorous test, certification, and mission readiness activities.”
  3. Next Crewed Boeing Starliner Flight Not Until 2028 SpacePolicyOnline · 28 September 2026
    “Isaacman said Starliner-1 will launch no earlier than December of this year and Starliner-2 not until 2028.”
  4. NASA cuts missions for Boeing Starliner contract, next flight will have no crew Orlando Sentinel · 24 November 2025
    “The next trip to space for Boeing’s beleaguered Starliner spacecraft won’t have a crew on board after NASA announced changes to the commercial crew contract that also slashes the total number of missions to the International Space Station.”

Reasoning

NASA confirms the first crewed Starliner test flight launched on June 5, 2024 (E1). In November 2025, NASA and press reports said the next Starliner flight, Starliner-1, would carry no crew and was targeted no earlier than April 2026 (E2, E4), so no crewed Starliner flight launched in 2025. In September 2026, Isaacman said Starliner-1 would launch no earlier than December 2026 and Starliner-2 not until 2028 (E3); with the next flight planned as uncrewed (E2, E4), this leaves no crewed flight expected by the end of 2026.

Cite this claim

Rodney Brooks, “After its first crewed test flight in April 2024, Boeing's Starliner is expected to fly with a crew once a year.” (said 1 January 2024). Verdict: resolved false. Reliability API, claim c_94d089236ec2, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_94d089236ec2

Claims without a verdict

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