Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
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Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
84 73 93 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
46 27 65 -
Promises
Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?
60 40 79
All types combined: 70 (likely 61 to 78, medium confidence), from 29 claims: 16 factual claims, 7 predictions, 6 promises. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
Ørsted's claims
2 claims
| Verdict | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolved true | Prediction | Feb 2018 | Ørsted expects to farm down 50% of Hornsea 1 either in H2 2018 or in 2019. Prediction · Feb 2018 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Prediction | Feb 2014 | DONG Energy expects business performance EBITDA of DKK 15-17 billion in 2014. Prediction · Feb 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
“We still expect a 50% farm-down of Hornsea 1, either in H2 2018 or in 2019.”
Ørsted February 2018 Annual report 2017 - Strong results support Ørsted's green transformation (Ørsted)
Ørsted expects to farm down 50% of Hornsea 1 either in H2 2018 or in 2019.
Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.
What would count as true or false
True: Ørsted signed or completed a divestment of a 50% ownership stake in the Hornsea 1 (Hornsea Project One) offshore wind farm to a third party between 1 July 2018 and 31 December 2019. Signing a binding divestment agreement within the window counts even if closing came later. Mostly true: a 50% farm-down was agreed within the window with only a minor difference in detail, such as timing within 2018 or the deal structure. Mostly false: a farm-down was agreed only before H2 2018 or after 2019, or the stake sold differed materially from 50%. False: positive evidence shows that no Hornsea 1 stake was divested by the end of 2019, for example a 2019 annual report listing Ørsted's ownership at 100% or a report that the sale was cancelled or postponed.
Evidence
- Ørsted Wraps Up Hornsea One Divestment offshorewind.biz · 27 November 2018
“Ørsted has completed the divestment of 50% of the Hornsea Project One offshore wind farm in the UK to Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP).”
- Ørsted Wraps Up Hornsea One Divestment offshorewind.biz · 27 November 2018
“Ørsted signed an agreement in September to sell half of the 1.2GW project, under which it will construct the wind farm under a full-scope EPC contract, provide long-term O&M services and provide a route to market for the generated power.”
Reasoning
An independent trade publication reports that Ørsted signed an agreement in September 2018 to sell half of Hornsea Project One to Global Infrastructure Partners (E2). The same report says the 50% divestment was completed in November 2018 (E1). Both dates fall within the H2 2018 to 2019 window, and the stake was exactly 50%, which meets the true criterion.
Cite this claim
Ørsted, “Ørsted expects to farm down 50% of Hornsea 1 either in H2 2018 or in 2019.” (said February 2018). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_dbc5791650e1, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_dbc5791650e1
Claims without a verdict
Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for Ørsted? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.