Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
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Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
84 73 93 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
46 27 65 -
Promises
Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?
60 40 79
All types combined: 70 (likely 61 to 78, medium confidence), from 29 claims: 16 factual claims, 7 predictions, 6 promises. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
Ørsted's claims
1 claim
| Verdict | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mostly true | Prediction | 2017 | With 1.2GW capacity, Hornsea 1 will be the world's largest offshore wind farm when commissioned in 2020, and DONG Energy's biggest investment ever. Prediction · 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
“With capacity of 1.2GW, Hornsea 1 will be the world's largest offshore wind farm when commissioned in 2020, and our biggest investment ever.”
Henrik Poulsen, CEO 2017 DONG Energy Annual report 2016 Summary (DONG Energy)
With 1.2GW capacity, Hornsea 1 will be the world's largest offshore wind farm when commissioned in 2020, and DONG Energy's biggest investment ever.
Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.
The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
Three parts: Hornsea 1 commissioned in 2020 with about 1.2GW capacity; it was the world's largest offshore wind farm at commissioning; it was DONG/Ørsted's biggest investment ever at that time. True if all hold (full commissioning dated within 2020 and no larger operating offshore wind farm at that time). Mostly true if all hold with a minor capacity discrepancy (e.g. 1.218GW). Mixed if commissioned in 2020 but one of the 'largest'/'biggest investment' parts fails. Mostly false if full commissioning occurred after 2020, or two parts fail. False if not commissioned by end of 2020 and the superlatives also fail. Commissioning before 2020 with both superlatives holding counts as true.
Evidence
- © 2020 Grant Thornton UK LLP | Hornsea Offshore Wind Farm Transmission Assets | 11 November 2020 Grant Thornton UK LLP for Ofgem · 11 November 2020
“The construction of the Transmission Assets is complete and the Wind Farm is fully operational, with full export capacity being achieved on 4 May 2020”
- FINANCIAL REPORT Q1 2016 DONG Energy (Ørsted) · 27 April 2016 Own record
“FID Hornsea 1; largest investment in DONG Energy’s history”
- 25 years of British offshore wind | Ember Ember
“Modern British offshore wind farms dwarf the early sites in scale, distance and power. Located 120 km from the Yorkshire coastline, the 2019 wind farm Hornsea 1 was the first offshore wind project in the world over 1 GW in scale.”
- 25 years of British offshore wind | Ember Ember
“However Hornsea 1 was later surpassed by Hornsea 2, officially the largest in the world at 1.3 GW, made up from 165 turbines each with a diameter of 167m”
Reasoning
An independent report for Ofgem states that Hornsea 1 was fully operational, with full export capacity reached on 4 May 2020, inside the 2020 horizon (E1). Ember describes Hornsea 1 as the world's first offshore wind project over 1 GW and says it was only later surpassed by Hornsea 2, which supports it being the largest at commissioning (E3, E4). The 'biggest investment ever' part rests only on the subject's own 2016 investor presentation (E2), and the evidence does not confirm the exact 1.2GW figure, only that it exceeded 1 GW. Those two gaps make the verdict mostly true rather than true.
Cite this claim
Ørsted, “With 1.2GW capacity, Hornsea 1 will be the world's largest offshore wind farm when commissioned in 2020, and DONG Energy's biggest investment ever.” (said 2017). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_c4fd206e523d, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_c4fd206e523d
Claims without a verdict
Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for Ørsted? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.