ClaimsPeople

Michael Burry

Michael Burry is a widely known investor who founded Scion Capital/Scion Asset Management and writes a paid Substack newsletter, reported by Yahoo Finance to have passed 300,000 subscribers.

593 claims collected, 191 researched, 73 resolved. Report of 5 November 2026, method 0.1.0+c876030c.

Scores by kind of claim

Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.

  • Factual claims

    Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

    74 67 80

    High confidence, 66 factual claims resolved. From 9 documents, 2001 to 2026; 14 documents sampled from 30 candidates found.

    Not scored: 46 unresolvable, 40 checkable only against their own records.

    See the factual claims

  • Predictions

    Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

    62 43 81

    Low confidence, 6 predictions resolved. From 2 documents, 2006 to 2011; 14 documents sampled from 30 candidates found.

    Not scored: 20 unresolvable, 3 checkable only against their own records. 1 more fall due later.

    Does not yet allow for how likely each prediction was when made.

    See the predictions

  • Promises

    Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?

    Insufficient record: 1 promise resolved, 5 needed for a score.

    Not scored: 4 unresolvable, 2 not yet due, 2 checkable only against their own records.

    See the promises

All types combined: 73 (likely 66 to 79, high confidence), from 72 claims: 66 factual claims, 6 predictions. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.

Michael Burry's claims

1 claim

1 claim, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictKindSaidClaimTopic
Not yet due Prediction 6 Oct 2026 The current denial stage of the stock market will last 6-9 months, as in 2000 and 2008. Prediction · 6 Oct 2026 AI timelines and forecasting
Back to the list

Michael Burry

Open its page

Prediction AI timelines and forecasting

“Per 2000 and 2008, this stage lasts 6-9 months.”

Michael Burry, X post 6 October 2026 Post by @michaeljburry on X, 2026-10-06 (X)

The current denial stage of the stock market will last 6-9 months, as in 2000 and 2008.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Reasoning

The denial stage began around Oct 2026, so a 6-9 month duration runs to roughly April-July 2027 and hasn't ended.

Cite this claim

Michael Burry, “The current denial stage of the stock market will last 6-9 months, as in 2000 and 2008.” (said 6 October 2026). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_8dcd1fa25b37, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_8dcd1fa25b37

Claims without a verdict

Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for Michael Burry? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.