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16 Oct 2023 |
Our enemies are not bad people – but rather bad ideas.
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16 Oct 2023 |
Our enemy is statism, authoritarianism, collectivism, central planning, socialism.
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| Unresolvable |
Factual |
16 Oct 2023 |
Technology-powered productivity growth is the main driver of economic growth, wage growth, and the creation of new industries and jobs.
Factual · 16 Oct 2023 |
Economics and markets |
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe that there is no material problem – whether created by nature or by technology – that cannot be solved with more technology.
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16 Oct 2023 |
It’s time to be a Techno-Optimist.
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16 Oct 2023 |
Our enemy is the Precautionary Principle, which would have prevented virtually all progress since man first harnessed fire.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe the techno-capital machine is not anti-human – in fact, it may be the most pro-human thing there is.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe a Universal Basic Income would turn people into zoo animals to be farmed by the state.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe free markets are the most effective way to organize a technological economy.
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16 Oct 2023 |
Technology is built by a virtual United Nations of talent from all over the world.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe we must help them find their way out of their self-imposed labyrinth of pain.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe America and her allies should be strong and not weak.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe the ultimate moral defense of markets is that they divert people who otherwise would raise armies and start religions into…
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe technology is a lever on the world – the way to make more with less.
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16 Oct 2023 |
Centralized planning is doomed to fail, the system of production and consumption is too complex.
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16 Oct 2023 |
Our enemy is stagnation.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe in an absolute rejection of resentment.
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16 Oct 2023 |
Technologically strong liberal democracies safeguard liberty and peace.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe technology is liberatory.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe energy need not expand to the detriment of the natural environment.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe in fulfilling our potential, becoming fully human – for ourselves, our communities, and our society.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We are not necessarily left wing, although some of us are.
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| Mixed |
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16 Oct 2023 |
In a market system, society captures about 98% of the value of technological innovation, a 50:1 ratio to the innovating company's share.
Factual · 16 Oct 2023 |
Economics and markets |
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16 Oct 2023 |
We are materially focused, for a reason – to open the aperture on how we may choose to live amid material abundance.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe intelligence is the ultimate engine of progress.
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16 Oct 2023 |
Technology is the glory of human ambition and achievement, the spearhead of progress, and the realization of our potential.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe technological change, far from reducing the need for human work, increases it, by broadening the scope of what humans can…
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16 Oct 2023 |
Our enemy is deceleration, de-growth, depopulation – the nihilistic wish, so trendy among our elites, for fewer people, less energy, and…
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe the ultimate mission of technology is to advance life both on Earth and in the stars.
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16 Oct 2023 |
It’s time to build.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe technology opens the space of what it can mean to be human.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We owe the past, and the future.
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16 Oct 2023 |
Our present society has been subjected to a mass demoralization campaign for six decades – against technology and against life – under…
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16 Oct 2023 |
It is time to be Techno-Optimists.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe our planet is dramatically underpopulated, compared to the population we could have with abundant intelligence, energy, and…
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe there is no conflict between capitalist profits and a social welfare system that protects the vulnerable.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We invite everyone to join us in Techno-Optimism.
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16 Oct 2023 |
Our civilization was built on a spirit of discovery, of exploration, of industrialization.
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16 Oct 2023 |
But we believe intrinsic motivations – the satisfaction of building something new, the camaraderie of being on a team, the achievement of…
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16 Oct 2023 |
Our enemy is corruption, regulatory capture, monopolies, cartels.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe in not Utopia, but also not Apocalypse.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe markets are generative, not exploitative; positive sum, not zero sum.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe a market sets wages as a function of the marginal productivity of the worker.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe in the Silicon Valley code of “pay it forward”, trust via aligned incentives, generosity of spirit to help one another learn and…
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe growth is progress – leading to vitality, expansion of life, increasing knowledge, higher well being.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe the measure of abundance is falling prices.
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16 Oct 2023 |
We believe in making everyone rich, everything cheap, and everything abundant.
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2 Sep 2023 |
we're back to one of those moments, whatever in the 1970s with the Soviet Union, where they're, like--there are a choice of two systems and…
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2 Sep 2023 |
the process by which the precautionary principle is actually engaged with, I find fairly horrifying.
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2 Sep 2023 |
anybody who has ever programmed a computer knows that's not how these things work.
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2 Sep 2023 |
By the way, this is classic of apocalypse cults.
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2 Sep 2023 |
I think we should have these arguments, debates, I think people should try different things.
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2 Sep 2023 |
that's specifically the risk on AI right now, which is we're not going to get the payoff.
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| Mixed |
Factual |
2 Sep 2023 |
Richard Nixon created a project in 1972 called Project Independence, and proposed building 1,000 new US nuclear reactors.
Factual · 2 Sep 2023 |
Economics and markets |
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2 Sep 2023 |
gunpowder is one of the things that led to society's basically growing up into the nation state that we have today.
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2 Sep 2023 |
generally they are creating a fake version of Christianity.
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2 Sep 2023 |
The role of mechanization in our society is to take out the drudge work, to take out the things we don't have to do
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2 Sep 2023 |
At some point computers get so sophisticated that they'll be basically more sophisticated than a human brain.
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2 Sep 2023 |
It's actually a good test. It's a good test whether anybody wants any such limitations, but they have the capability to do that.
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2 Sep 2023 |
We have many thousands of cults at any point in time.
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| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
2 Sep 2023 |
Andreessen guessed that within a couple of years of 2023, the dominant discussion about AI would be the United States or the West versus China.
Prediction · 2 Sep 2023 |
AI policy and governance |
| Mixed |
Factual |
2 Sep 2023 |
In the research literature, IQ is typically linked to outcomes with a correlation of about 0.4 to 0.5.
Factual · 2 Sep 2023 |
Science and research methods |
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2 Sep 2023 |
we would propose the right way to solve this is in a decentralized way, kind of consistent with how the Internet works
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2 Sep 2023 |
I would not make an absolute statement of all these things are good or even that all these things are net positive.
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2 Sep 2023 |
And of course, the opposite is true, which is the premium music experience is not listening to music on your stereo or on your phone.
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2 Sep 2023 |
It's the ultimate thought-partner in, I think, an incredibly compelling way.
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2 Sep 2023 |
Because it has crystallized intelligence--it has all this data--it's able to basically be extremely comprehensive.
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2 Sep 2023 |
A hundred years ago, if you were rich, you had a car. If you were poor, you had a horse.
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2 Sep 2023 |
We say, 'We're no longer operating in science.'
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2 Sep 2023 |
There's no science to these claims.
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2 Sep 2023 |
they've constructed a new religion around a new Godhead.
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| Own records only |
Factual |
2 Sep 2023 |
Andreessen Horowitz holds certain meetings where everyone puts their phones face down.
Factual · 2 Sep 2023 |
Their own work or organisation |
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2 Sep 2023 |
At that point, we basically created a proxy religion.
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2 Sep 2023 |
When a national leader says a country wants to be a leader in X, they mean one of two things.
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| Mostly true |
Factual |
2 Sep 2023 |
Ray Kurzweil kind of took that idea to the next level and applied it specifically to AI.
Factual · 2 Sep 2023 |
AI safety and alignment |
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2 Sep 2023 |
it would be good to have a general solution for this kind of thing that gives people the ability to exercise control and verification on…
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2 Sep 2023 |
I actually think it's concentrated to actually a quite extreme degree and to a degree that's probably not healthy
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2 Sep 2023 |
Well, that's what you'd want to say, if you had an early lead and you wanted to convince other people to maybe back off a little bit and…
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2 Sep 2023 |
I actually think nuclear weapons have been net positive
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2 Sep 2023 |
I'm not a utopian and things are overdetermined.
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2 Sep 2023 |
they've got the other 40 minutes to spend with their kids. That's more valuable than anything.
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| Not researched |
Factual |
2 Sep 2023 |
The thing being discussed is one of the few exceptions to the rule that almost nothing is about 40% causative of anything.
Factual · 2 Sep 2023 |
Science and research methods |
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2 Sep 2023 |
This is not human intelligence, but this is much, much closer to human intelligence than anything we've ever gotten.
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| Mostly false |
Factual |
2 Sep 2023 |
The precautionary principle was developed by the German Greens in the 1970s.
Factual · 2 Sep 2023 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
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2 Sep 2023 |
What tends to happen--I think, at least my reading of it--what tends to happen is they don't actually construct the new ideas they think…
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2 Sep 2023 |
I think that's something that people should think very hard about.
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2 Sep 2023 |
Probably that's not what Netanyahu has in mind.
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2 Sep 2023 |
there's this interesting phenomenon where a lot of these things become art forms.
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2 Sep 2023 |
I think that generally in life, making up your own religion is a bad idea.
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2 Sep 2023 |
written culture led to the creation of the Enlightenment and science and technology and everything around us today.
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| Mostly false |
Prediction |
2 Sep 2023 |
The EU may pass a law as soon as October 2023 that effectively bans AI inside the EU.
Prediction · 2 Sep 2023 |
AI policy and governance |
| Not researched |
Factual |
2 Sep 2023 |
Some AI-risk advocates are now advocating real-world violence, including airstrikes on data centers and potentially nuclear war, to offset the risk of a runaway AI in another country.
Factual · 2 Sep 2023 |
AI safety and alignment |
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2 Sep 2023 |
it seems that we've finally reached the point where that technology is actually starting to work.
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2 Sep 2023 |
you have a generation of extremely smart people who have kind of thought themselves into an apocalypse cult.
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2 Sep 2023 |
I think we should generally proceed with at least an implicit assumption that new technologies are net positive.
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2 Sep 2023 |
it's just self-evidence that these things are working in this sort of breakthrough way.
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2 Sep 2023 |
Any apocalypse cult has this characteristic.
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2 Sep 2023 |
For me, it's all work.
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2 Sep 2023 |
The challenge is that the temptation--at least in the world I'm in--the temptation is then to try to roll your own.
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2 Sep 2023 |
that's for me where it leaves the realm of practical reality and just ends up being this sort of quasi-religious fantasy.
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