ClaimsPeople

Marc Andreessen

Marc Andreessen co-created the Mosaic browser, cofounded Netscape, and is cofounder and general partner of the venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz.

1,009 claims collected, 216 researched, 105 resolved. Report of 4 November 2026, method 0.1.0+c876030c.

Scores by kind of claim

Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.

  • Factual claims

    Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

    67 61 73

    High confidence, 94 factual claims resolved. From 11 documents, 1995 to 2026; 19 documents sampled from 30 candidates found.

    Not scored: 44 unresolvable, 17 checkable only against their own records.

    See the factual claims

  • Predictions

    Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

    60 44 76

    Low confidence, 11 predictions resolved. From 6 documents, 1995 to 2025; 19 documents sampled from 30 candidates found.

    Not scored: 41 unresolvable, 1 checkable only against their own records. 4 more fall due later.

    Does not yet allow for how likely each prediction was when made.

    See the predictions

  • Promises

    Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?

    Insufficient record: 0 promises resolved, 5 needed for a score.

    Not scored: 3 unresolvable.

    See the promises

All types combined: 66 (likely 61 to 72, high confidence), from 105 claims: 94 factual claims, 11 predictions. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.

Marc Andreessen's claims

4 claims

4 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictKindSaidClaimTopic
Not yet due Prediction 7 Jan 2026 It is very likely that AI chips will become cheap and abundant within five years. Prediction · 7 Jan 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Not yet due Prediction 7 Jan 2026 With hundreds of billions or even trillions of dollars being invested, the unit cost of AI companies will drop sharply over the next decade. Prediction · 7 Jan 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Not yet due Prediction 7 Jan 2026 Andreessen said he highly doubts that the product forms people use today (as of January 2026) will be the same in five or ten years. Prediction · 7 Jan 2026 AI capabilities
Not yet due Prediction 18 Apr 2020 The institutional failure over the coronavirus pandemic will have effects through the rest of the 2020s. Prediction · 18 Apr 2020 Other global risks
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Marc Andreessen

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Prediction AI compute, hardware and data

“So the unit cost of AI companies will drop like a stone in the next decade.”

Marc Andreessen, a16z co-founder 7 January 2026 2026 Early Interview with Marc Andreessen: AI Revolution Just Started (36Kr)

With hundreds of billions or even trillions of dollars being invested, the unit cost of AI companies will drop sharply over the next decade.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Reasoning

deadline 2036 is after 2026-11-04

Cite this claim

Marc Andreessen, “With hundreds of billions or even trillions of dollars being invested, the unit cost of AI companies will drop sharply over the next decade.” (said 7 January 2026). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_7538263b48c1, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_7538263b48c1

Claims without a verdict

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