Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
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Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
75 61 88 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Insufficient record: 2 predictions resolved, 5 needed for a score.
All types combined: 75 (likely 61 to 88, low confidence), from 12 claims: 12 factual claims. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
Jim Cramer's claims
30 claims
“I could see us down a least .75 in nasdaq futures given the now very big run from the bottom in oil”
Jim Cramer, posting on X 26 March 2026 Post by @jimcramer on X, 2026-03-26 (X)
Nasdaq futures could be down at least .75 on the night of the remark, which is dated 2026-03-26, given the very big run-up in oil from its bottom.
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
Reasoning
dated 2026-03-26, on or after its own deadline 2026-03-26, so it is not a forecast as dated; the date is probably that of a later document repeating it
Cite this claim
Jim Cramer, “Nasdaq futures could be down at least .75 on the night of the remark, which is dated 2026-03-26, given the very big run-up in oil from its bottom.” (said 26 March 2026). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_e812ac2b16cc, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_e812ac2b16cc
Claims without a verdict
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