Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
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Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
75 61 88 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Insufficient record: 2 predictions resolved, 5 needed for a score.
All types combined: 75 (likely 61 to 88, low confidence), from 12 claims: 12 factual claims. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
Jim Cramer's claims
30 claims
“Oil up, rates up, stocks down.”
Jim Cramer, posting on X 27 March 2026 Post by @jimcramer on X, 2026-03-27 (X)
On 2026-03-27, oil prices and interest rates rose while stocks fell.
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
What would count as true or false
This compares 2026-03-27 with the previous trading session on three points: oil (the WTI or Brent front-month settlement), interest rates (the US 10-year Treasury yield) and stocks (the S&P 500 close; Dow and Nasdaq as a cross-check). True: all three moved in the stated direction (oil up, yield up, stocks down). Mostly true: all three directions held but one move was negligible (for example a yield change of about 1 basis point or less), or oil and the yield rose while the major stock indices were mixed but mostly down. Mixed: two of the three held. Mostly false: only one held. False: none held.
Evidence
- Market Quick Take - 27 March 2026 Saxo · 27 March 2026
“The S&P 500 fell 1.7% to 6,477.16, the Dow dropped 1.0% to 45,960.11, and the Nasdaq Composite lost 2.4% to 21,408.08 as hopes for a quick diplomatic breakthrough faded after Iran rejected the U.S. ceasefire proposal.”
- Market Quick Take - 27 March 2026 Saxo · 27 March 2026
“US Treasury yields rose sharply Thursday as oil prices did likewise, taking the benchmark 2-year Treasury yield up a full ten basis points to 3.98%,”
- [PDF] Sprague Energy - MarketWatch | Refined Products Sprague Energy · 5 May 2026
“The oil market on Thursday traded higher and retraced some more of its previous”
- [PDF] Sprague Energy - MarketWatch | Refined Products Sprague Energy · 5 May 2026
“WTI - Apr $96.90, up $3.13”
Reasoning
The criteria compare the 2026-03-27 session (a Friday) with the session before it. E2, from a Saxo market note dated 27 March, says yields and oil rose on Thursday, and E1's stock figures from the same note do not say which session they cover. E2 also gives the 2-year yield, not the 10-year yield the criteria name. E3 says oil traded higher on Thursday, and E4 gives an April WTI figure of $96.90, up $3.13, without saying which session or time it refers to. None of the evidence gives the closing levels for oil, the 10-year yield or the S&P 500 on 27 March, so the claim cannot be resolved.
Cite this claim
Jim Cramer, “On 2026-03-27, oil prices and interest rates rose while stocks fell.” (said 27 March 2026). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_79e6dbb249c7, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_79e6dbb249c7
Claims without a verdict
Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for Jim Cramer? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.