Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
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Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
75 61 88 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Insufficient record: 2 predictions resolved, 5 needed for a score.
All types combined: 75 (likely 61 to 88, low confidence), from 12 claims: 12 factual claims. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
Jim Cramer's claims
30 claims
“This Pioneer, $PXD, acts better than the whole group”
Jim Cramer, on X 23 December 2019 Post by @jimcramer on X, 2019-12-23 (X)
Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) stock is performing better than the rest of its industry group as of 2019-12-23.
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
What would count as true or false
'Acts better than the whole group' is judged by Pioneer's (PXD) share-price performance against US oil and gas exploration-and-production peers (for example XOP or the S&P 500 energy E&P constituents) on 2019-12-23 and over the short period before it (up to about one month). True: PXD's return was better than the group benchmark and better than most named E&P peers on that day and over the recent period. Mostly true: PXD beat the group benchmark over one of the two windows and roughly matched it (within about 1 percentage point) over the other. Mixed: PXD beat the group over one window and clearly lagged over the other. Mostly false: PXD roughly matched the group, or beat only a few peers, so 'better than the whole group' overstates it. False: PXD clearly lagged the group benchmark over both windows.
Evidence
- Digrin – Dividend Portfolio Tracker Digrin
“| December 2019 | $118.64 | $151.37 |”
- Digrin – Dividend Portfolio Tracker Digrin
“| November 2019 | $99.91 | $127.84 |”
- Between a Reform and a Hard Place -XOP State Street Global Advisors (SPDR Research and Strategy) · 6 January 2020
“Source: Bloomberg Finance, L.P., as of 12/31/2019, XOP underperformed the S&P 500 by 41% in 2019”
- Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) - Stock price history companiesmarketcap.com
“2019 12.71%”
- Digrin – Dividend Portfolio Tracker Digrin
“| December 2019 | $118.64 | $151.37 | | November 2019 | $99.91 | $127.84 |”
Reasoning
E1, E2 and E5 give only month-level PXD prices for November and December 2019. They are not labelled clearly enough to show PXD's return on 2019-12-23 or over the month before it. E4 gives a bare 2019 figure of 12.71% for PXD, and E3 says only that XOP underperformed the S&P 500 by 41% across all of 2019. None of these items compares PXD with XOP or named E&P peers on the day or over the one-month window, so the criteria cannot be applied.
Cite this claim
Jim Cramer, “Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) stock is performing better than the rest of its industry group as of 2019-12-23.” (said 23 December 2019). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_3d95c96c0376, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_3d95c96c0376
Claims without a verdict
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