Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
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Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
84 79 88 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Insufficient record: 2 predictions resolved, 5 needed for a score.
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Promises
Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?
Insufficient record: 3 promises resolved, 5 needed for a score.
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Guidance
A company's own figures for its results over a period, checked against what it then reported.
Insufficient record: 1 guidance claim resolved, 5 needed for a score.
All types combined: 84 (likely 79 to 88, high confidence), from 90 claims: 90 factual claims. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
Jeff Bezos's claims
“The benefits to society from AI are going to be gigantic.”
Jeff Bezos, Amazon founder, interviewed 6 October 2025 Transcript: Jeff Bezos on Tech Future, AI, Space Revolution (Italian Tech Week 2025) (Singju Post)
The benefits to society from AI will be gigantic.
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
Reasoning
'Gigantic' benefits are vague and have no horizon.
Cite this claim
Jeff Bezos, “The benefits to society from AI will be gigantic.” (said 6 October 2025). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_1ad1979e57cb, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_1ad1979e57cb
Claims without a verdict
Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for Jeff Bezos? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.