Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
-
Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
84 79 88 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Insufficient record: 2 predictions resolved, 5 needed for a score.
-
Promises
Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?
Insufficient record: 3 promises resolved, 5 needed for a score.
-
Guidance
A company's own figures for its results over a period, checked against what it then reported.
Insufficient record: 1 guidance claim resolved, 5 needed for a score.
All types combined: 84 (likely 79 to 88, high confidence), from 90 claims: 90 factual claims. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
Jeff Bezos's claims
22 claims
“From 2019 to 2020, overall MSDs decreased by 32%, and MSDs resulting in time away from work decreased by more than half.”
Jeff Bezos, Amazon Chair, shareholder letter 15 April 2021 2020 Letter to Shareholders (About Amazon)
From 2019 to 2020 Amazon's overall MSDs decreased by 32%, and MSDs resulting in time away from work decreased by more than half.
Own records only Only the person's or their organisation's own records speak to it, so it is not scored.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
Reasoning
The MSD reduction figures are Amazon's internal metrics.
Cite this claim
Jeff Bezos, “From 2019 to 2020 Amazon's overall MSDs decreased by 32%, and MSDs resulting in time away from work decreased by more than half.” (said 15 April 2021). Verdict: own records only. Reliability API, claim c_ea8aa2a94eef, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_ea8aa2a94eef
Claims without a verdict
Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for Jeff Bezos? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.